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We Think Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688005) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd (SHSE:688005) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲寧波容百新能源科技有限公司(SHSE: 688005)正在爲債務承擔一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  05/10 11:37

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688005) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:688005)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任其擺佈。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲地離開。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's Debt?

寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd had CN¥6.73b of debt, up from CN¥5.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥4.87b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.86b.

如下所示,截至2024年3月底,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的債務爲67.3億元人民幣,高於去年同期的58.4億元人民幣。點擊圖片了解更多詳情。另一方面,它擁有48.7億元的現金,淨負債約爲18.6億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688005 Debt to Equity History May 10th 2024
SHSE: 688005 債務與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 5 月 10 日

How Healthy Is Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥8.34b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥6.00b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.87b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.75b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.72b.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的負債爲83.4億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲600億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有48.7億元人民幣的現金以及價值77.5億加元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額17.2億元人民幣。

Since publicly traded Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥15.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於上市的寧波容百新能源科技有限公司股票總價值爲156億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's net debt of 2.3 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.2 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Importantly, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 81% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的淨負債爲息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的2.3倍,這表明債務的合理使用。而且,其過去十二個月的息稅前利潤是其利息支出的7.2倍,這一事實與這一主題一致。重要的是,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了驚人的81%。如果這種下降持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食大會上出售鵝肝更難。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定寧波容百新能源科技有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Ningbo Ronbay New Energy TechnologyLtd you should know about.

坦率地說,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流,以及其(不)增長息稅前利潤的往績都使我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。但至少它在用息稅前利潤支付利息支出方面相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。綜合考慮上述所有因素,在我們看來,寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的債務使其有點風險。有些人喜歡這種風險,但我們注意到了潛在的陷阱,因此我們可能更願意減少債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了你應該知道的寧波容百新能源科技有限公司的5個警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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