share_log

SPS Commerce, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SPSC) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Simply Wall St ·  May 9 20:34

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.4x SPS Commerce, Inc. (NASDAQ:SPSC) is a stock to avoid completely, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 1.6x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SPSC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024

What Does SPS Commerce's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for SPS Commerce as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SPS Commerce will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is SPS Commerce's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, SPS Commerce would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 71% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 15% as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that SPS Commerce is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On SPS Commerce's P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Analysts are forecasting SPS Commerce's revenues to only grow on par with the rest of the industry, which has lead to the high P/S ratio being unexpected. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - SPS Commerce has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of SPS Commerce's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
    Write a comment