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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on NBTM New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600114) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on NBTM New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600114) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面會對NBTM新材料集團有限公司(SHSE: 600114)當前的股價勢頭產生負面影響嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/05 08:37

NBTM New Materials Group's (SHSE:600114) stock is up by a considerable 40% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to NBTM New Materials Group's ROE today.

NBTM新材料集團(上海證券交易所代碼:600114)的股票在過去三個月中上漲了40%。但是該公司的關鍵財務指標似乎各不相同,這使我們質疑該公司目前的股價勢頭是否可以維持。特別是,我們今天將關注NBTM新材料集團的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於其股權資本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NBTM New Materials Group is:

因此,根據上述公式,NBTM新材料集團的投資回報率爲:

9.0% = CN¥271m ÷ CN¥3.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

9.0% = 2.71億元人民幣 ÷ 30億元人民幣(基於截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,公司就會產生0.09元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of NBTM New Materials Group's Earnings Growth And 9.0% ROE

NBTM新材料集團的收益增長和9.0%的投資回報率的並排比較

On the face of it, NBTM New Materials Group's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.1%. But then again, NBTM New Materials Group's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 13%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

從表面上看,NBTM新材料集團的投資回報率沒什麼好談的。然而,一項更仔細的研究表明,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的8.1%相似。但話又說回來,NBTM新材料集團的五年淨收入萎縮了13%。請記住,該公司的投資回報率確實略低。因此,這可能導致收益增長萎縮。

However, when we compared NBTM New Materials Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

但是,當我們將NBTM新材料集團的增長與該行業的增長進行比較時,我們發現,儘管該公司的收益一直在萎縮,但該行業同期的收益增長了7.9%。這非常令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600114 Past Earnings Growth May 5th 2024
SHSE: 600114 過去的收益增長 2024 年 5 月 5 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is NBTM New Materials Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者接下來需要確定的是,預期的收益增長或缺乏收益是否已經包含在股價中。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。與其他公司相比,NBTM新材料集團的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is NBTM New Materials Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

NBTM新材料集團是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 37% (where it is retaining 63% of its profits), NBTM New Materials Group has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管正常的三年派息率中位數爲37%(保留了63%的利潤),但如上所示,NBTM新材料集團的收益卻有所下降。看來可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

Additionally, NBTM New Materials Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 7.4% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 15% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

此外,NBTM新材料集團已在至少十年內派發了股息,這意味着即使收益增長微乎其微,公司的管理層也決心派發股息。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年降至7.4%。該公司的投資回報率預計將在同期上升至15%,這一事實可以用派息率的下降來解釋。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about NBTM New Materials Group's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對NBTM新材料集團的表現有些矛盾。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。既然如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,分析師預計公司的收益增長率將大幅提高。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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