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Shareholders Can Be Confident That Harson Trading (China)Ltd's (SHSE:603958) Earnings Are High Quality

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Harson Trading (China)Ltd's (SHSE:603958) Earnings Are High Quality

股東們可以確信哈森貿易(中國)有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603958)的收益是高質量的
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 07:19

Harson Trading (China) Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603958) strong earnings report was rewarded with a positive stock price move. We did some digging and found some further encouraging factors that investors will like.

哈森貿易(中國)有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海證券交易所代碼:603958)強勁的收益報告獲得了股價的積極走勢的回報。我們進行了一些挖掘,發現了一些投資者會喜歡的進一步令人鼓舞的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603958 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 603958 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Zooming In On Harson Trading (China)Ltd's Earnings

放大哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,“應計額較高的公司將來的利潤往往會降低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Harson Trading (China)Ltd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.15. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥85m, well over the CN¥11.8m it reported in profit. Notably, Harson Trading (China)Ltd had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥85m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的應計比率爲-0.15。因此,其法定收入大大低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲8500萬元人民幣,遠遠超過其公佈的利潤1180萬元人民幣。值得注意的是,哈森貿易(中國)有限公司去年的自由現金流爲負,因此其今年的8500萬元人民幣是一個可喜的改善。話雖如此,故事還有更多。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Harson Trading (China)Ltd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的資產負債表分析

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

Harson Trading (China)Ltd's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥18m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to March 2024, Harson Trading (China)Ltd had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

在過去的十二個月中,哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的利潤因價值1800萬元人民幣的不尋常物品而減少,這有助於其實現高現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。這就是你所期望看到的公司的非現金費用會減少紙面利潤的情況。儘管由於不尋常項目而產生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一線希望。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。而且,畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,哈森貿易(中國)有限公司有一筆巨額的不尋常物品支出。因此,我們可以推測,這些不尋常的物品使其法定利潤明顯低於原來的水平。

Our Take On Harson Trading (China)Ltd's Profit Performance

我們對哈森貿易(中國)有限公司盈利表現的看法

Considering both Harson Trading (China)Ltd's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think Harson Trading (China)Ltd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Harson Trading (China)Ltd has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

考慮到哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的應計比率及其不尋常的項目,我們認爲其法定收益不太可能誇大該公司的基礎盈利能力。基於這些因素,我們認爲哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的潛在盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。在進行分析時,我們發現哈森貿易(中國)有限公司有兩個警告信號,忽視這些信號是不明智的。

Our examination of Harson Trading (China)Ltd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對哈森貿易(中國)有限公司的審查側重於某些可能使其收益看起來好於實際的因素。而且它已經以優異的成績過去了。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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