Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HRTG) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 143% in the last twelve months.
Following the heavy fall in price, it would be understandable if you think Heritage Insurance Holdings is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.3x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Insurance industry have P/S ratios above 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How Heritage Insurance Holdings Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Heritage Insurance Holdings as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Heritage Insurance Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Heritage Insurance Holdings?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Heritage Insurance Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 10% last year. Revenue has also lifted 23% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.2% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.9% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that Heritage Insurance Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From Heritage Insurance Holdings' P/S?
Heritage Insurance Holdings' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Insurance companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Heritage Insurance Holdings' revealed that its P/S remains low despite analyst forecasts of revenue growth matching the wider industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Heritage Insurance Holdings you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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