Does China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute (SHSE:688128) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute (SHSE:688128) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688128) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,中國電器研究所有限公司(SHSE: 688128)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
What Is China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute's Net Debt?
中國電器研究院的淨負債是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute had CN¥13.5m of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥46.3m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥732.9m in cash, so it actually has CN¥719.4m net cash.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示中國電器研究院在2024年3月有1350萬元人民幣的債務,低於一年前的4630萬元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有7.329億元的現金,因此實際上擁有7.194億元人民幣的淨現金。
A Look At China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute's Liabilities
看看中國電器科學研究院的負債
The latest balance sheet data shows that China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute had liabilities of CN¥3.96b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥204.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥732.9m and CN¥1.79b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,中國電器研究所的負債爲39.6億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲2.043億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲7.329億元人民幣,還有價值17.9億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出16.4億元人民幣。
China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute has a market capitalization of CN¥7.75b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
中國國家電器研究院的市值爲77.5億元人民幣,因此,如果需要,它很可能會籌集資金以改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們一定要仔細研究它能否在不稀釋的情況下管理債務。儘管負債巨大,但中國電器科學研究院擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
Also good is that China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
同樣不錯的是,中國電器研究所的息稅前利潤比去年增長了18%,進一步提高了其管理債務的能力。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來收益將決定中國電器研究所未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。中國電器研究院的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在最近三年中,中國電器研究所記錄的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的57%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總結
Although China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥719.4m. And we liked the look of last year's 18% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China National Electric Apparatus Research Institute .
儘管由於負債總額,中國電器研究院的資產負債表並不是特別強勁,但其淨現金爲7.194億元人民幣顯然是樂觀的。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長18%的樣子。那麼中國電器研究院的債務是一種風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在中國電器研究所發現的1個警告標誌。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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