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Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Hangzhou Cable (SHSE:603618) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Hangzhou Cable (SHSE:603618) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years

在過去三年中,正的收益增長不足以讓杭州電纜(SHSE: 603618)股東獲得豐厚的回報
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 08:56

Hangzhou Cable Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603618) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last week. It's not great that the stock is down over the last three years. But that's not so bad when you consider its market is down 17%.

杭州電纜股份有限公司(SHSE: 603618)的股東應該很高興看到上週股價上漲了13%。該股在過去三年中下跌並不是一件好事。但是,考慮到其市場下跌了17%,這還不錯。

While the stock has risen 13% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

儘管該股在過去一週上漲了13%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Hangzhou Cable actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 15% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

在不幸的三年股價下跌中,杭州電纜的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長15%。鑑於股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。否則,該公司過去曾被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

With a rather small yield of just 1.2% we doubt that the stock's share price is based on its dividend. Revenue is actually up 4.7% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Hangzhou Cable more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

由於收益率相當低,僅爲1.2%,我們懷疑該股的股價是否基於其股息。在過去的三年中,收入實際上增長了4.7%,因此股價下跌似乎也不取決於收入。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得對杭州有線進行更仔細的研究,因爲有時股市會不公平地下跌。這可能帶來機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603618 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SHSE: 603618 收益和收入增長 2024 年 4 月 30 日

Take a more thorough look at Hangzhou Cable's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解杭州有線的財務狀況。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Hangzhou Cable, it has a TSR of -15% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。以杭州電纜爲例,在過去三年中,其股東總回報率爲-15%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Although it hurts that Hangzhou Cable returned a loss of 9.7% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 13%. Given the total loss of 2% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Hangzhou Cable better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hangzhou Cable (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

儘管杭州電纜在過去十二個月中回報了9.7%的虧損令人痛心,但整個市場實際上更糟,虧損了13%。鑑於五年來每年的總損失爲2%,在過去的十二個月中,回報似乎有所惡化。儘管一些投資者在專門收購陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表現良好,但不要忘記巴菲特說過 “轉機很少會轉機”。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,要更好地了解杭州電纜,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。爲此,你應該了解我們在杭州有線電視上發現的兩個警告標誌(包括一個不容忽視的警告)。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你不會想錯過這份業內人士正在收購的成長型公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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