When you see that almost half of the companies in the Media industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600037) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 3.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd Has Been Performing
Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 7.2% overall from three years ago. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.3% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 19% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It comes as a surprise to see Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Beijing Gehua Catv NetworkLtd you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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