Compugen Ltd. (NASDAQ:CGEN) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 225%.
After such a large drop in price, Compugen's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 13x and even P/S above 59x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
NasdaqCM:CGEN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 28th 2024
How Has Compugen Performed Recently?
Compugen certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Compugen's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Compugen?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Compugen would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 5.2% per year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 163% per annum.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Compugen's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What Does Compugen's P/S Mean For Investors?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Compugen's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It's clear to see that Compugen maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Compugen (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to be mindful of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Compugen's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
上個月,股價下跌了26%,這給一直在等待事情發生的Compugen有限公司(納斯達克股票代碼:CGEN)的股東受到了打擊。好消息是,去年,該股像鑽石一樣閃耀,上漲了225%。
在價格大幅下跌之後,Compugen的市銷率(或 “市銷率”)爲5.1倍,與更廣泛的美國生物技術行業相比,目前看上去像是一個強勁的買盤,在美國,大約一半的公司的市銷率高於13倍,甚至市盈率高於59倍也很常見。但是,我們需要更深入地挖掘,以確定大幅降低市銷率是否有合理的基礎。
納斯達克股票代碼:CGEN 與行業的股價銷售比率 2024 年 4 月 28 日
Compugen 最近的表現如何?
Compugen最近確實做得很好,因爲它的收入增長幅度超過了大多數其他公司。一種可能性是市銷率很低,因爲投資者認爲這種強勁的收入表現今後可能不那麼令人印象深刻。如果不是,那麼現有股東就有理由對股價的未來走向非常樂觀。
想了解分析師如何看待Compugen的未來與該行業的對立嗎?在這種情況下,我們的免費報告是一個很好的起點。
預計Compugen的收入會增長嗎?
爲了證明其市銷率是合理的,Compugen需要實現大幅落後於該行業的疲軟增長。
首先回顧一下,我們發現該公司的收入在過去12個月中經歷了一些猛烈的增長。得益於其令人難以置信的短期表現,最近三年的總體收入也實現了驚人的增長。因此,我們可以首先確認該公司在這段時間內在增加收入方面做得非常出色。
展望未來,預計收入將下滑,根據關注該公司的雙重分析師的說法,未來三年收入每年收縮5.2%。當該行業其他部門預計每年增長163%時,這並不好。
考慮到這一點,我們發現有趣的是,Compugen的市銷率與業內同行非常接近。但是,尚不能保證市銷率已達到最低水平,收入反向增長。由於疲軟的前景壓低了股價,即使僅僅維持這些價格也可能難以實現。
Compugen的市銷率對投資者意味着什麼?
Compugen的股價幾乎跌下了懸崖,市銷率也大幅下降。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們謹慎行事,不要過多地考慮市售比率,儘管這可以揭示其他市場參與者對公司的看法。
顯而易見,由於對收入下滑的預測不如預期,Compugen維持了較低的市銷率。在現階段,投資者認爲,收入改善的可能性不足以證明更高的市銷率是合理的。除非發生實質性變化,否則很難想象股價會急劇上漲。
我們不想在遊行隊伍中下太多雨,但我們還發現了 Compugen 的 4 個警告標誌(1 個不容忽視!)這是你需要注意的。
如果您不確定Compugen的業務實力,爲什麼不瀏覽我們的互動式股票清單,其中列出了您可能錯過的其他一些公司的業務基礎穩健的股票。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接聯繫我們。或者,也可以發送電子郵件至編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。