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Darbond Technology's (SHSE:688035) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

Darbond Technology's (SHSE:688035) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture

德邦科技(上海證券交易所代碼:688035)的疲軟收益可能只能揭示整體情況的一部分
Simply Wall St ·  04/27 08:05

Darbond Technology Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688035) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

德邦科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 688035)最近疲軟的收益報告並未導致股市大幅波動。我們的分析表明,除了疲軟的利潤數字外,投資者還應意識到這些數字中的其他一些潛在弱點。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688035 Earnings and Revenue History April 27th 2024
SHSE: 688035 2024 年 4 月 27 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

A Closer Look At Darbond Technology's Earnings

仔細看看德邦科技的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如財務愛好者已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間內的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。你可以將現金流的應計比率視爲 “非FCF利潤率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,負應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正應計比率是負數。這並不意味着我們應該擔心應計比率爲正,但值得注意的是,應計比率相當高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Darbond Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥203m despite its profit of CN¥102.9m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥203m, this year, indicates high risk.

在截至2023年12月的十二個月中,德邦科技的應計比率爲0.24。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠低於其報告的利潤。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲1.029億元人民幣,但流出量仍爲2.03億元人民幣,如上所述。在去年自由現金流爲負的背景下,我們想象一些股東可能會懷疑其今年2.03億元人民幣的現金消耗是否表明存在高風險。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

Our Take On Darbond Technology's Profit Performance

我們對德邦科技盈利表現的看法

Darbond Technology didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Darbond Technology's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 44% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, Darbond Technology has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

去年,德邦科技沒有將其大部分利潤轉換爲自由現金流,一些投資者可能認爲這種情況相當不理想。因此,我們認爲可能是德邦科技的法定利潤要好於其基礎盈利能力。但是,至少持有人可以從過去三年的每股收益每年增長44%中得到一些安慰。當然,我們只是在分析其收益時才浮出水面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。有鑑於此,如果你想對公司進行更多分析,了解所涉及的風險至關重要。例如,Darbond Technology有2個警告標誌(還有一個讓我們有點不舒服),我們認爲你應該知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Darbond Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

這份報告只研究了揭示德邦科技利潤性質的單一因素。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是有利的商業經濟的標誌,而另一些人則喜歡 “關注資金”,尋找內部人士正在買入的股票。雖然可能需要你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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