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Here's Why Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

這就是寶潔(紐約證券交易所代碼:PG)可以負責任地管理債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 18:58

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies The Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE:PG) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,寶潔公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:PG)也使用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Procter & Gamble's Net Debt?

寶潔公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Procter & Gamble had debt of US$32.0b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$36.6b over a year. However, it also had US$6.83b in cash, and so its net debt is US$25.2b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月底,寶潔公司的債務爲320億美元,較上一年的366億美元有所減少。但是,它也有68.3億美元的現金,因此其淨負債爲252億美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:PG Debt to Equity History April 26th 2024
紐約證券交易所:PG 債務與股本比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 26 日

How Strong Is Procter & Gamble's Balance Sheet?

寶潔公司的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Procter & Gamble had liabilities of US$32.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$36.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$6.83b in cash and US$6.12b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$56.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,寶潔公司在12個月內到期的負債爲323億美元,在此之後到期的負債爲369億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有68.3億美元的現金和61.2億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出563億美元。

Since publicly traded Procter & Gamble shares are worth a very impressive total of US$383.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於公開交易的寶潔公司股票總價值高達3836億美元,令人印象深刻,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Procter & Gamble's net debt is only 1.0 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 46.2 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Procter & Gamble grew its EBIT by 15% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Procter & Gamble can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

寶潔公司的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的1.0倍。而且其息稅前利潤很容易彌補其利息支出,是其規模的46.2倍。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。我們還熱烈地注意到,寶潔公司去年的息稅前利潤增長了15%,使其債務負擔更易於處理。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定寶潔公司能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Procter & Gamble produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,寶潔公司產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的72%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司處於有利地位,可以在適當的時候償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Procter & Gamble's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Zooming out, Procter & Gamble seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Procter & Gamble that you should be aware of before investing here.

寶潔公司的利息保障表明,它可以像克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多在對陣14歲以下的守門員的比賽中進球一樣輕鬆地處理債務。這僅僅是好消息的開始,因爲將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流也非常令人鼓舞。縮小規模,寶潔公司似乎相當合理地使用債務;這得到了我們的點頭。雖然債務確實會帶來風險,但如果明智地使用,它也可以帶來更高的股本回報率。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了寶潔公司的1個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這個信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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