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Inspur Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600756) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Inspur Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600756) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

浪潮软件有限公司(SHSE: 600756)股票走强但基本面看起来不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 12:31

Inspur Software (SHSE:600756) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 13% over the last week. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Inspur Software's ROE in this article.

浪潮软件(上海证券交易所代码:600756)在股市上表现良好,其股票上周大幅上涨了13%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究浪潮软件的投资回报率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,投资回报率显示了每美元从其股东投资中产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股本回报率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营业务)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Inspur Software is:

因此,根据上述公式,浪潮软件的投资回报率为:

3.9% = CN¥92m ÷ CN¥2.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

3.9% = 9.2亿元人民币 ÷ 23亿元人民币(基于截至2023年12月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回报” 是过去十二个月的利润。另一种思考方式是,公司每拥有价值1元人民币的股权,就能获得0.04元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。现在,我们需要评估公司再投资或 “保留” 了多少利润以用于未来的增长,从而使我们对公司的增长潜力有所了解。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

Inspur Software's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

浪潮软件的收益增长和3.9%的投资回报率

It is hard to argue that Inspur Software's ROE is much good in and of itself. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 3.9%. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 28% seen by Inspur Software was possibly a result of the disappointing ROE.

很难说浪潮软件的投资回报率本身就非常好。与行业的比较表明,该公司的投资回报率与3.9%的行业平均投资回报率非常相似。因此,说浪潮软件五年净收入下降28%可能是投资回报率令人失望的结果,这可能没有错。

That being said, we compared Inspur Software's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.7% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将浪潮软件的表现与该行业的表现进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在5年同期的收益增长了1.7%时,我们对此感到担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600756 Past Earnings Growth April 24th 2024
SHSE: 600756 过去的收益增长 2024 年 4 月 24 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Inspur Software is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是面向光明还是暗淡的未来。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查一下浪潮软件相对于其行业是高市盈率还是低市盈率。

Is Inspur Software Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

浪潮软件是否有效地使用了其留存收益?

When we piece together Inspur Software's low three-year median payout ratio of 13% (where it is retaining 88% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

当我们将浪潮软件在过去三年中计算的低三年派息率中位数13%(保留了88%的利润)汇总在一起时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。低支出应意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会出现一些增长。因此,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用,这些因素可能会阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临一些阻力。

In addition, Inspur Software has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,浪潮软件在至少十年内一直在支付股息,这表明即使以业务增长为代价,维持股息支付对管理层来说也更为重要。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Inspur Software. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Inspur Software by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们对浪潮软件有喜忧参半的感觉。尽管该公司的再投资率确实很高,但低投资回报率意味着所有这些再投资都没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且还对收益增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以访问我们的 Inspur Software 确定的 1 种风险 风险仪表板 在我们的平台上免费使用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


以上内容仅用作资讯或教育之目的,不构成与富途相关的任何投资建议。富途竭力但不能保证上述全部内容的真实性、准确性和原创性。
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