share_log

Those Who Invested in UMB Financial (NASDAQ:UMBF) a Year Ago Are up 43%

Those Who Invested in UMB Financial (NASDAQ:UMBF) a Year Ago Are up 43%

一年前投資UMB Financial(納斯達克股票代碼:UMBF)的人上漲了43%
Simply Wall St ·  04/20 22:04

The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But one can do better than that by picking better than average stocks (as part of a diversified portfolio). For example, the UMB Financial Corporation (NASDAQ:UMBF) share price is up 40% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 20% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. On the other hand, longer term shareholders have had a tougher run, with the stock falling 14% in three years.

投資股票的最簡單方法是購買交易所交易基金。但是,通過選擇比普通股更好的股票(作爲多元化投資組合的一部分),可以做得比這更好。例如,UMB金融公司(納斯達克股票代碼:UMBF)的股價在過去1年中上漲了40%,顯然超過了約20%(不包括股息)的市場回報率。因此,這應該讓股東們微笑。另一方面,長期股東的表現更加艱難,該股在三年內下跌了14%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們調查一下,看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Over the last twelve months, UMB Financial actually shrank its EPS by 19%.

在過去的十二個月中,UMB Financial實際上將其每股收益縮減了19%。

This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

這意味着市場不太可能根據收益增長來評判該公司。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得一看其他指標。

We are skeptical of the suggestion that the 1.9% dividend yield would entice buyers to the stock. Revenue was pretty flat year on year, but maybe a closer look at the data can explain the market optimism.

我們對1.9%的股息收益率會吸引買家購買該股的說法持懷疑態度。收入同比持平,但仔細研究數據也許可以解釋市場的樂觀情緒。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:UMBF Earnings and Revenue Growth April 20th 2024
納斯達克GS:UMBF收益和收入增長 2024年4月20日

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on UMB Financial

我們認爲,內部人士在去年進行了大量收購,這是積極的。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和收入增長趨勢是更有意義的業務指南。這份顯示分析師預測的免費報告應該可以幫助您對UMB Financial形成看法

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, UMB Financial's TSR for the last 1 year was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

除了衡量股價回報率外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報率(TSR)。基於股息再投資的假設,股東總回報率納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,UMB Financial過去1年的股東總回報率爲43%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息提高了 股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that UMB Financial shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 43% over one year. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 5% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with UMB Financial .

我們很高興地向大家報告,UMB Financial的股東在一年內獲得了43%的總股東回報率。這確實包括股息。這比五年來5%的年化回報率要好,這意味着該公司最近的表現更好。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該注意我們在UMB Financial中發現的1個警告信號。

UMB Financial is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

UMB Financial並不是內部人士唯一買入的股票。對於那些喜歡尋找獲利投資的人來說,這份最近有內幕收購的成長型公司的免費清單可能就是入場券。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論