These 4 Measures Indicate That Atour Lifestyle Holdings (NASDAQ:ATAT) Is Using Debt Safely
These 4 Measures Indicate That Atour Lifestyle Holdings (NASDAQ:ATAT) Is Using Debt Safely
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:ATAT) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
What Is Atour Lifestyle Holdings's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Atour Lifestyle Holdings had debt of CN¥72.0m at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥174.0m over a year. But it also has CN¥3.59b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.52b net cash.
A Look At Atour Lifestyle Holdings' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Atour Lifestyle Holdings had liabilities of CN¥2.38b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.15b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.59b and CN¥278.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥656.3m.
Of course, Atour Lifestyle Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥17.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Atour Lifestyle Holdings also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Better yet, Atour Lifestyle Holdings grew its EBIT by 460% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Atour Lifestyle Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Atour Lifestyle Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Atour Lifestyle Holdings actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Atour Lifestyle Holdings has CN¥3.52b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 198% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥1.9b. So we don't think Atour Lifestyle Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Atour Lifestyle Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格支持的)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。” 當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,亞朵生活控股有限公司(納斯達克股票代碼:ATAT)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。
亞朵生活控股的淨負債是多少?
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月底,亞朵生活控股公司的債務爲7200萬元人民幣,較一年內的1.740億元人民幣有所減少。但它也有35.9億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它的淨現金爲35.2億元人民幣。
NASDAQGS: ATAT 債券與股本的比率歷史記錄 2024 年 4 月 16 日
看看亞朵生活控股的負債
根據上次報告的資產負債表,亞朵生活控股公司在12個月內到期的負債爲23.8億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲21.5億元人民幣。另一方面,它有35.9億加元的現金和價值2.78億元人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額6.563億元人民幣。
當然,亞朵生活控股的市值爲177億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。儘管它確實有值得注意的負債,但Atour Lifestyle Holdings的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。
更好的是,亞朵生活控股公司去年的息稅前利潤增長了460%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改善。這種提振將使未來償還債務變得更加容易。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定亞朵生活控股公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。儘管Atour Lifestyle Holdings的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,Atour Lifestyle Holdings產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。當Daft Punk音樂會的節拍下降時,這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們和觀衆一樣興奮。
總結
儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,亞朵生活控股的淨現金爲35.2億元人民幣。最重要的是,它將息稅前利潤的198%轉換爲自由現金流,帶來了19億元人民幣的收入。因此,我們認爲亞朵生活控股公司使用債務沒有風險。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,Atour Lifestyle Holdings有1個我們認爲你應該注意的警告標誌。
歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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