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Bitcoin ETFs Could Propel King Crypto Above Gold's Market Cap, Says Analyst: 'These Are Very Conservative Numbers'

Bitcoin ETFs Could Propel King Crypto Above Gold's Market Cap, Says Analyst: 'These Are Very Conservative Numbers'

分析师表示,比特币ETF可能会推动King Crypto突破黄金市值:“这些数字非常保守”
Benzinga ·  04/16 10:38

Renowned cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo has projected that the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could potentially drive Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) price to surpass that of gold.

著名的加密货币分析师Willy Woo预计,比特币ETF的推出可能会推动比特币(加密货币:BTC)的价格超过黄金。

What Happened: In a tweet on Monday, Woo outlined his predictions for Bitcoin's future performance in light of the recent introduction of Bitcoin ETFs. He suggested that once ETF investors have fully deployed, Bitcoin could reach price targets of $91k at the bear market bottom and $650k at the bull market top. He emphasized that these are conservative estimates and that Bitcoin is likely to exceed gold's market cap once ETFs have completed their role.

发生了什么:在周一的一条推文中,胡概述了鉴于最近推出的比特币ETF,他对比特币未来表现的预测。他建议,一旦ETF投资者全面部署,比特币可以在熊市底部达到91万美元的目标股价,在牛市顶部达到65万美元的目标股价。他强调说,这些都是保守的估计,一旦ETF完成其职责,比特币的市值可能会超过黄金的市值。

The new #Bitcoin ETFs brings price targets of $91k at the bear market bottom and $650k at the bull market top once ETF investors have fully deployed according to asset manager recommendations***.
These are very conservative numbers. #Bitcoin will beat gold cap when ETFs have...

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) April 15, 2024

根据资产管理公司的建议,新的 #Bitcoin ETF将熊市底部的目标股价定为9.1万美元,在牛市顶部为65万美元***。
这些都是非常保守的数字。当 ETF 有... 时 #Bitcoin 将突破金额上限

— Willy Woo (@woonomic) 2024 年 4 月 15 日

Woo's calculations are based on the assumption that asset managers, who manage $100T, will allocate 2% of their funds to Bitcoin, resulting in a $2T allocation. He also factored in Bitcoin's current investment holdings of $561,159,959 and used the MVRV ratio to calculate market cap versus money invested.

Woo的计算基于这样的假设,即管理100万亿美元的资产管理公司将把2%的资金分配给比特币,从而获得2万亿美元的分配。他还考虑了比特币目前持有的561,159,959美元,并使用MVRV比率来计算市值与投资资金的对比。

Why It Matters: The SEC approved applications for various entities, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:GBTC), the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (NYSE:BITB), the Hashdex Bitcoin ETF (NYSE:DEFI), the Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund (NASDAQ:BRRR), the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (BATS:ARKB) and others on Jan. 10, 2024.

为何重要:美国证券交易委员会于2024年1月10日批准了各种实体的申请,包括灰度比特币信托基金(纽约证券交易所代码:GBTC)、Bitwise比特币ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:BITB)、Hashdex比特币ETF(纽约证券交易所代码:DEFI)、瓦尔基里比特币基金(纳斯达克股票代码:BRRR)、ARK 21Shares比特币ETF(BATS: ARKB)等。

It should be noted that the estimated market cap of gold is nearly $16.1 trillion, calculated on the basis of the precious metal at $2,400 per ounce.

应该指出的是,根据每盎司2400美元的贵金属计算,黄金的估计市值接近16.1万亿美元。

Woo said in his post, "Bitcoin will certainly exceed Gold capitalisation by the time asset manager capital has deployed. Gold went on a 12 year bull run when it's ETF was approved, now it's Bitcoin's turn."

胡在他的帖子中说:“到资产管理公司资金部署时,比特币肯定会超过黄金的市值。黄金在ETF获得批准时经历了12年的牛市,现在轮到比特币了。”

Bitcoin's current market capitalization is $1.2 trillion. According to Woo at $650,000 per coin, the market cap for the apex cryptocurrency is set to rise to $12.8 trillion.

比特币目前的市值为1.2万亿美元。根据Woo的说法,每枚硬币65万美元,这种顶级加密货币的市值将升至12.8万亿美元。

Recently, Woo forecasted Bitcoin's price to potentially reach $71,000 to $75,000 due to short liquidations, despite a critical support level at $58,900. He remained optimistic as the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) metric suggested upward pressure. Woo anticipated increased volatility around the Bitcoin halving event, preparing for choppy market conditions in April, but still expected a bullish scenario with short liquidations driving the price upward.

最近,Woo预测,尽管关键支撑位为58,900美元,但由于空头清算,比特币的价格仍可能达到71,000美元至75,000美元。他仍然乐观,因为累积交易量增量(CVD)指标显示出上行压力。Woo预计,比特币减半事件前后的波动性将增加,为4月份的波动性做准备,但仍预计会出现看涨情景,空头清算将推动价格上涨。

Bitcoin ETFs have experienced significant trading volumes, with a whopping $111 billion traded in March alone, according to another Benzinga report. However, the past week saw an 8% drop in Bitcoin prices, leading to $83M net outflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs, as highlighted in this Benzinga article.

根据Benzinga的另一份报告,比特币ETF的交易量可观,仅在3月份,交易量就高达1110亿美元。但是,正如本辛加的这篇文章所强调的那样,过去一周比特币价格下跌了8%,导致现货比特币ETF净流出8300万美元。

Price Action: At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded 3.7% higher at $62,884.16, according to data from Benzinga Pro.

价格走势:根据Benzinga Pro的数据,在撰写本文时,比特币交易价格上涨3.7%,至62,884.16美元。

Photo Courtesy: Shutterstock.com

照片提供:Shutterstock.com

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


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