Stock Market Rebounds As Hopes For Rate Cuts Persist, The SPY Respects Channel Pattern: A Technical Analysis
Stock Market Rebounds As Hopes For Rate Cuts Persist, The SPY Respects Channel Pattern: A Technical Analysis
Trending: Trader Who Urged Everyone To Buy $1 Of Bitcoin In 2013 Now Advocates For 'Dogecoin Killer' Shiba Inu (UPDATED)The SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) was rising about 0.3% Wednesday amid persistent optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.
由於人們一直樂觀地認爲聯儲局今年將降息，SPDR標準普爾500指數（紐約證券交易所代碼：SPY）週三上漲約0.3％。
Bullish economic indicators in the last quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024 caused the SPY to surge 10% during the first three months of this year.
2023年最後一個季度和2024年第一季度的看漲經濟指標使SPY在今年前三個月飆升了10％。
Whether or not the run higher across major equities will continue during the second quarter remains to be seen but for at least the short term, from a technical analysis perspective, the market ETF is respecting the upper and lower ascending trend lines of a rising channel. On Tuesday and Wednesday, the SPY tested the lower trend line of the pattern and bounced up from the area.
主要股市是否會在第二季度持續走高還有待觀察，但至少在短期內，從技術分析的角度來看，市場ETF尊重上漲通道的上升趨勢線和下行趨勢線。週二和週三，SPY測試了該模式的較低趨勢線並從該區域反彈。
Trending: Trader Who Urged Everyone To Buy $1 Of Bitcoin In 2013 Now Advocates For 'Dogecoin Killer' Shiba Inu (UPDATED)
趨勢：2013年敦促所有人購買1美元比特幣的交易員現在倡導 “狗狗幣殺手” Shiba Inu（更新）
More experienced traders who wish to play the SPY either bullishly or bearishly may choose to do so through one of two Direxion ETFs. Bullish traders can enter a short-term position in Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXL) and bearish traders can trade the inverse ETF, Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXS).
希望以看漲或看跌的方式玩SPY的經驗更豐富的交易者可以選擇通過兩種Direxion ETF中的一種來玩SPY。看漲的交易者可以在Direxion Daily標準普爾500指數牛市3X股（紐約證券交易所代碼：SPXL）中進入短期頭寸，看跌的交易者可以交易反向ETF，即Direxion Daily標準普爾500熊3X股（紐約證券交易所代碼：SPXS）。
The ETFs: SPXL and SPXS are triple leveraged funds that track the movement of the SPY, seeking a return of 300% or –300% on the return of the benchmark index over a single day.
ETF：SPXL和SPXS是追蹤SPY走勢的三倍槓桿基金，尋求基準指數在一天內獲得300％或-300％的回報。
It should be noted that leveraged ETFs are meant to be used as a trading vehicle as opposed to long-term investments
應該注意的是，槓桿ETF旨在用作交易工具，而不是長期投資
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想要直接分析？在 BZ Pro 休息室找我！點擊此處免費試用。
The SPY Chart: The SPY has been trading in a steep uptrend since Oct. 27, making a fairly consistent series of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Over the last few trading days, the SPY has been trading in a short downtrend but on Tuesday and Wednesday, looked to be bouncing up from the lower trend line of the channel, which could eventually negate the downtrend.
間諜圖表：自10月27日以來，SPY一直處於急劇上升趨勢，在日線圖上創出了一系列相當穩定的更高高點和更高的低點。在過去的幾個交易日中，SPY一直處於短暫的下跌趨勢中，但在週二和週三，該指數似乎正在從該通道的較低趨勢線反彈，這最終可能會否定下跌趨勢。
- A rising channel is considered to be bullish until a stock or index breaks down from the lower trend line of the pattern on higher-than-average volume. When that eventually happens, it could signal a longer-term retracement is on the horizon.
- If the SPY closes Wednesday's trading session near its high-of-day, it will form a bullish Marubozu candlestick, which could indicate higher prices will come again on Thursday. If the SPY continues to rebound, the ETF may find resistance at the median line of the channel.
- Bearish traders want to see big bearish volume enter to break the SPY down through the bottom of the channel. If that happens, the ETF is likely to find at least temporary support at the 50-day simple moving average.
- The SPY has resistance above at the all-time high of $524.61 and at the psychologically important $525 mark. The ETF has support below at $517.29 and at $510.13.
- 在成交量高於平均水平的情況下，股票或指數從該模式的較低趨勢線跌破之前，上升通道被視爲看漲。當這種情況最終發生時，可能預示着長期回調即將到來。
- 如果SPY週三的交易時段接近當日高點，它將形成看漲的Marubozu燭臺，這可能表明週四價格將再次上漲。如果SPY繼續反彈，ETF可能會在通道的中線處遇到阻力。
- 看跌的交易者希望看到大量的看跌交易量進入，將SPY跌破通道底部。如果發生這種情況，ETF可能會在50天簡單移動平均線上找到至少臨時支撐。
- SPY的阻力位高於524.61美元的歷史高點和重要的525美元心理大關。該ETF的支撐位低於517.29美元和510.13美元。
Image sourced from Shutterstock
圖片來自 Shutterstock
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
