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Earnings Miss: Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 46% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Earnings Miss: Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 46% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

收益不佳:北京元流宏源電子科技有限公司每股收益下降了46%,分析師正在修改預測
Simply Wall St ·  03/30 08:52

Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603267) just released its latest annual report and things are not looking great. Unfortunately, Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology delivered a serious earnings miss. Revenues of CN¥1.7b were 12% below expectations, and statutory earnings per share of CN¥1.18 missed estimates by 46%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

北京元流宏源電子科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603267)剛剛發佈了最新的年度報告,但情況並不樂觀。不幸的是,北京元流宏源電子科技出現了嚴重的盈利虧損。17億元人民幣的收入比預期低12%,1.18元人民幣的法定每股收益比預期低46%。對於投資者來說,盈利是一個重要時刻,因爲他們可以追蹤公司的業績,查看分析師對明年的預測,看看對公司的情緒是否發生了變化。我們認爲,讀者會發現分析師對明年最新(法定)業績後的預測很有趣。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:603267 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 30th 2024
SHSE: 603267 2024 年 3 月 30 日收益和收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology's dual analysts is for revenues of CN¥2.09b in 2024. This would reflect a huge 24% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 172% to CN¥3.20. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.47b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.99 in 2024. It looks like there's been a meaningful change to the consensus view following the recent earnings report, with the analysts making a real cut to to revenue forecasts and a small increase to to next year's earnings estimates.

考慮到最新業績,北京元流宏源電子科技雙重分析師目前的共識是,2024年的收入爲20.9億元人民幣。這將反映其收入在過去12個月中大幅增長24%。預計每股法定收益將增長172%,至3.20元人民幣。然而,在最新業績公佈之前,分析師曾預計2024年的收入爲24.7億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲2.99元人民幣。在最近的業績發佈之後,共識觀點似乎發生了有意義的變化,分析師實際下調了收入預期,小幅上調了明年的收益預期。

The analysts have cut their price target 17% to CN¥61.45per share, suggesting that the declining revenue was a more crucial indicator than the expected improvement in earnings.

分析師已將目標股價下調了17%,至每股61.45元人民幣,這表明收入下降是一個比預期的收益改善更爲關鍵的指標。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 24% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 17% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 18% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

從現在的大局來看,我們可以理解這些預測的方法之一是看看它們如何與過去的業績和行業增長預期相比較。分析師們肯定預計,北京元流宏源電子科技的增長將加速,預計到2024年底的年化增長率爲24%,而過去五年的歷史年增長率爲17%。相比之下,我們的數據表明,預計類似行業的其他公司(有分析師報道)的收入將以每年18%的速度增長。考慮到收入增長的預測,很明顯,北京元流宏源電子科技的增長速度預計將比其行業快得多。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology's earnings potential next year. They also downgraded Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology's revenue estimates, but industry data suggests that it is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. Even so, long term profitability is more important for the value creation process. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

對我們來說,最大的收穫是共識的每股收益上調,這表明圍繞北京元流宏源電子科技明年盈利潛力的情緒將明顯改善。他們還下調了北京元流宏源電子科技的收入預期,但行業數據表明,預計其增長速度將快於整個行業。即便如此,長期盈利能力對於價值創造過程更爲重要。此外,分析師還下調了目標股價,這表明最新消息加劇了人們對業務內在價值的悲觀情緒。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have analyst estimates for Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology going out as far as 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。根據分析師的估計,北京元流宏源電子科技的上市時間將持續到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Even so, be aware that Beijing Yuanliu Hongyuan Electronic Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

即便如此,請注意,北京元流宏源電子科技在我們的投資分析中顯示了2個警告信號,您應該知道...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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