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We Think FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd (SHSE:600516) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd (SHSE:600516) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲方大碳素新材料有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600516)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 15:33

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that FangDa Carbon New Material Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600516) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到方大碳素新材料有限公司, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600516)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會成爲風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事是同時考慮其現金和債務。

How Much Debt Does FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd Carry?

方大碳素新材料有限公司揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd had CN¥1.19b of debt, an increase on CN¥641.4m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥6.83b in cash, leading to a CN¥5.63b net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,方大碳素新材料有限公司在一年內有11.9億元人民幣的債務,比6.414億加元人民幣增加。但另一方面,它也有68.3億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲56.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600516 Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024
SHSE: 600516 2024 年 3 月 29 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

A Look At FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd's Liabilities

看看方大碳素新材料有限公司的負債

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.37b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.06b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.83b in cash and CN¥2.18b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥5.58b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,方大碳素新材料有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲23.7億元人民幣,之後到期的負債爲10.6億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有68.3億加元的現金和21.8億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有5.58億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明,方大碳素新材料有限公司正在以一種看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,方大碳素新材料有限公司的現金多於債務,這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

In fact FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 58% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

實際上,方大碳素新材料有限公司的救命之處在於其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下降了58%。收益下降(如果這種趨勢持續下去)最終也可能使即使是微不足道的債務也相當危險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來收益將決定方大碳素新材料有限公司未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd recorded free cash flow of 42% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。儘管方大碳素新材料有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。縱觀最近三年,方大碳素新材料有限公司的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的42%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd has net cash of CN¥5.63b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we don't have any problem with FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for FangDa Carbon New MaterialLtd you should know about.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,方大碳素新材料有限公司的淨現金爲56.3億元人民幣,流動資產也比負債多。因此,我們對方大碳素新材料有限公司使用債務沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了你應該知道的方大碳素新材料有限公司的1個警告標誌。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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