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3.9% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Anhui Quanchai Engine (SHSE:600218) Shareholders Over That Period

3.9% Earnings Growth Over 5 Years Has Not Materialized Into Gains for Anhui Quanchai Engine (SHSE:600218) Shareholders Over That Period

5年内3.9%的收益增长尚未转化为安徽全柴发动机(SHSE: 600218)股东在此期间的收益
Simply Wall St ·  03/29 07:14

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Anhui Quanchai Engine Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600218), since the last five years saw the share price fall 32%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 17% in the last three months.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,即使是最好的选股者也只能通过以下方式获胜 一些 选择。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们对安徽全柴发动机有限公司(SHSE: 600218)的投资,因为在过去五年中,股价下跌了32%。最近跌势加速,股价在过去三个月中下跌了17%。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Anhui Quanchai Engine isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果说过去一周有意义的话,投资者对安徽全柴发动机的情绪并不乐观,所以让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配的情况。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

While the share price declined over five years, Anhui Quanchai Engine actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 21% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但安徽全柴发动机实际上设法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增长21%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市场如何估值股票的好指南。或者,过去的增长预期可能不合理。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由于每股收益增长与股价下跌之间缺乏相关性,值得一看其他指标,以了解股价走势。

The modest 1.0% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. Revenue is actually up 8.9% over the time period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

1.0%的适度股息收益率不太可能指导该股的市场观点。在此期间,收入实际上增长了8.9%。对收入和收益进行更详细的审查可能会也可能无法解释股价下跌的原因;可能有机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600218 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 28th 2024
SHSE: 600218 收益和收入增长 2024 年 3 月 28 日

This free interactive report on Anhui Quanchai Engine's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果你想进一步调查安徽全柴发动机资产负债表实力,这份关于安徽全柴发动机资产负债表实力的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Anhui Quanchai Engine the TSR over the last 5 years was -30%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。基于股息再投资的假设,股东总回报率纳入了任何分拆或贴现资本筹集的价值以及任何股息。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。我们注意到,安徽全柴发动机在过去5年的股东总回报率为-30%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's never nice to take a loss, Anhui Quanchai Engine shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 11% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 15%. Given the total loss of 5% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Anhui Quanchai Engine that you should be aware of.

尽管亏损从来都不是一件好事,但安徽全柴发动机的股东可以放心,包括股息在内,他们过去十二个月的11%亏损没有市场损失15%左右那么严重。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为5%,在过去的十二个月中,回报似乎有所恶化。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。例如,我们已经确定了安徽全柴发动机的两个警告标志,你应该注意这两个警示标志。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一样,那么你不会想错过这份业内人士正在收购的成长型公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


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