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Sinomach Auto Mobile Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600335) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Sinomach Auto Mobile Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600335) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

國機汽車移動有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 600335)的股票正在上漲,但財務狀況看起來模棱兩可:勢頭會繼續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  03/22 08:29

Most readers would already be aware that Sinomach Auto mobileLtd's (SHSE:600335) stock increased significantly by 9.0% over the past month. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Specifically, we decided to study Sinomach Auto mobileLtd's ROE in this article.

大多數讀者已經意識到,國機汽車移動有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:600335)的股票在過去一個月中大幅上漲了9.0%。但是,我們想知道該公司財務狀況不穩定是否會對當前的股價勢頭產生任何不利影響。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究國機汽車移動有限公司的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sinomach Auto mobileLtd is:

因此,根據上述公式,國機汽車移動有限公司的投資回報率爲:

2.7% = CN¥308m ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

2.7% = 3.08億元人民幣 ¥11b(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。將其概念化的一種方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,公司就會獲得0.03元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。然後,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力,具體取決於公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假設其他一切保持不變,那麼與不一定具有這些特徵的公司相比,投資回報率和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高。

A Side By Side comparison of Sinomach Auto mobileLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.7% ROE

國機汽車移動有限公司的收益增長和2.7%的投資回報率的並排比較

It is hard to argue that Sinomach Auto mobileLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 22% seen by Sinomach Auto mobileLtd over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很難說國機汽車移動有限公司的投資回報率本身就非常好。即使與行業平均水平的5.3%相比,投資回報率的數字也相當令人失望。在這種情況下,國機汽車移動有限公司在過去五年中淨收入大幅下降了22%,這並不奇怪。我們認爲,可能還有其他方面對公司的盈利前景產生負面影響。例如-收益保留率低或資本配置不佳。

So, as a next step, we compared Sinomach Auto mobileLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 0.8% over the last few years.

因此,下一步,我們將國機汽車移動有限公司的表現與行業進行了比較,失望地發現,儘管該公司一直在縮減收益,但該行業在過去幾年中一直以0.8%的速度增長收益。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600335 Past Earnings Growth March 22nd 2024
SHSE: 600335 過去的收益增長 2024 年 3 月 22 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Sinomach Auto mobileLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。衡量預期收益增長的一個很好的指標是市盈率,它根據收益前景決定了市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能需要檢查國機汽車移動有限公司相對於其行業是高市盈率還是低市盈率。

Is Sinomach Auto mobileLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

國機汽車MobileLtd是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 38% (or a retention ratio of 62%) which is pretty normal, Sinomach Auto mobileLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

國機汽車移動有限公司的三年派息率中位數爲38%(或62%的留存率),這很正常,收益的下降相當令人困惑,因爲當一家公司保留很大一部分利潤時,人們預計會出現相當大的增長。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,該公司的業務可能正在惡化。

In addition, Sinomach Auto mobileLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,國機汽車移動有限公司在至少十年內一直在派發股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Sinomach Auto mobileLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Sinomach Auto mobileLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們對國機汽車有限公司的看法喜憂參半。儘管鑑於投資回報率低,它似乎保留了大部分利潤,但投資者畢竟可能無法從所有這些再投資中受益。低收入增長表明我們的理論是正確的。總而言之,我們將謹慎對待這家公司,其中一種方法是研究該業務的風險狀況。您可以訪問我們的 3 種風險來查看我們爲國機汽車移動有限公司確定的三種風險 風險儀表板 在我們的平台上免費使用。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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