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Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Jardine Matheson Holdings' (SGX:J36) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Jardine Matheson Holdings' (SGX:J36) For Its Upcoming Dividend

這就是爲什麼我們對收購怡和控股(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:J36)以支付其即將到來的股息持謹慎態度的原因
Simply Wall St ·  03/17 08:02

Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Jardine Matheson Holdings Limited (SGX:J36) is about to go ex-dividend in just 3 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Jardine Matheson Holdings' shares on or after the 21st of March, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 15th of May.

一些投資者依靠分紅來增加財富,如果你是這些股息偵探之一,你可能會想知道怡和控股有限公司(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:J36)即將在短短3天內實現除息。除息日通常設置爲記錄日期前一個工作日,即您必須作爲股東出現在公司賬簿上才能獲得股息的截止日期。除息日之所以如此,是因爲每當買入或賣出股票時,交易至少需要兩個工作日才能結算。因此,如果您在3月21日當天或之後購買怡和控股的股票,則沒有資格獲得5月15日支付的股息。

The company's upcoming dividend is US$1.65 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of US$2.25 per share to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Jardine Matheson Holdings has a trailing yield of approximately 5.7% on its current stock price of US$39.79. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! As a result, readers should always check whether Jardine Matheson Holdings has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

該公司即將派發的股息爲每股1.65美元,此前該公司向股東共分配了每股2.25美元。從過去12個月的分配情況來看,怡和控股的追蹤收益率約爲5.7%,而目前的股價爲39.79美元。我們喜歡看到公司派發股息,但同樣重要的是要確保產下金蛋不會殺死我們的金鵝!因此,讀者應隨時檢查怡和控股是否能夠增加股息,或者股息是否可能被削減。

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year Jardine Matheson Holdings paid out 95% of its profits as dividends to shareholders, suggesting the dividend is not well covered by earnings. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Jardine Matheson Holdings generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. What's good is that dividends were well covered by free cash flow, with the company paying out 16% of its cash flow last year.

股息通常從公司收益中支付。如果一家公司支付的股息超過其利潤,那麼分紅可能是不可持續的。去年,怡和控股將其利潤的95%作爲股息支付給了股東,這表明股息沒有被收益充分支付。一種有用的輔助支票可以用來評估怡和控股是否產生了足夠的自由現金流來支付股息。好處是,股息被自由現金流充分支付,該公司去年支付了現金流的16%。

It's good to see that while Jardine Matheson Holdings's dividends were not well covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if this were to happen repeatedly, we'd be concerned about whether the dividend is sustainable in a downturn.

很高興看到,儘管怡和控股的股息沒有很好地由利潤支付,但至少從現金的角度來看,它們是可以承受的。儘管如此,如果這種情況反覆發生,我們會擔心股息在經濟低迷時期是否可持續。

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

點擊此處查看該公司的派息率,以及分析師對其未來股息的估計。

historic-dividend
SGX:J36 Historic Dividend March 17th 2024
新加坡證券交易所:J36 歷史股息 2024 年 3 月 17 日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增長嗎?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Jardine Matheson Holdings's 12% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

從股息的角度來看,收益萎縮的企業很棘手。如果業務陷入低迷並削減股息,該公司的價值可能會急劇下降。考慮到這一點,怡和控股在過去五年中每年的收益下降了12%,這讓我們感到不安。當每股收益下降時,可以支付的最大股息金額也會下降。

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Jardine Matheson Holdings has delivered 5.2% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Jardine Matheson Holdings is already paying out 95% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

衡量公司股息前景的另一種關鍵方法是衡量其歷史股息增長率。在過去的10年中,怡和控股的股息平均每年增長5.2%。收益萎縮時支付更高股息的唯一方法是支付更大比例的利潤,從資產負債表中支出現金,或者借錢。怡和控股已經支付了95%的利潤,隨着收益的減少,我們認爲該股息未來不太可能快速增長。

To Sum It Up

總結一下

Is Jardine Matheson Holdings worth buying for its dividend? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 95% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. It's not that we think Jardine Matheson Holdings is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

怡和控股的股息值得買入嗎?看到一家公司收益下降並支付95%的利潤,這並不是一個很好的組合,這可能意味着股息將來可能面臨被削減的風險。但是,現金支付率要低得多——從股息的角度來看這是個好消息——這使我們想知道爲什麼收入和現金流之間存在如此不匹配的情況。並不是說我們認爲怡和控股是一家糟糕的公司,但這些特徵通常不會帶來出色的股息表現。

So if you're still interested in Jardine Matheson Holdings despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Jardine Matheson Holdings you should be aware of.

因此,如果你仍然對怡和控股感興趣,儘管它的股息質量很差,那麼你應該充分了解這隻股票面臨的一些風險。一個很好的例子:我們發現了怡和控股的兩個警告信號,你應該注意了。

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

通常,我們不建議只購買你看到的第一隻股息股票。以下是精選的具有強大股息支付能力的有趣股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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