Vicplas International Ltd (SGX:569) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
Vicplas International Ltd (SGX:569) Shares May Have Slumped 25% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Vicplas International Ltd (SGX:569) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Vicplas International's P/E ratio of 12.2x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Singapore is also close to 12x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
For example, consider that Vicplas International's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Vicplas International, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Growth For Vicplas International?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Vicplas International would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 52%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 16% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Vicplas International is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
With its share price falling into a hole, the P/E for Vicplas International looks quite average now. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Vicplas International currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Vicplas International that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Vicplas International. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對於一些股東來說,不幸的是,Vicplas國際有限公司(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:569)的股價在過去三十天中下跌了25%,延續了最近的痛苦。在過去十二個月中已經持股的股東沒有獲得回報,反而坐視股價下跌了39%。
儘管其價格已大幅下跌,但您對Vicplas International的12.2倍市盈率漠不關心仍然是可以原諒的,因爲新加坡的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)中位數也接近12倍。儘管這可能不會引起任何關注,但如果市盈率不合理,投資者可能會錯過潛在的機會或無視迫在眉睫的失望。
例如,假設Vicplas International最近由於收益下降而財務表現不佳。一種可能性是市盈率適中,因爲投資者認爲該公司在不久的將來可能做得足夠多,足以與大盤保持一致。如果你喜歡這家公司,你至少希望情況確實如此,這樣你就有可能在它不太受青睞的情況下買入一些股票。
儘管沒有分析師對Vicplas International的估計,但請看一下這個免費的數據豐富的可視化圖表,看看該公司如何增加收益、收入和現金流。Vicplas International 有一些增長嗎?
爲了證明其市盈率是合理的,Vicplas International需要實現與市場相似的增長。
首先回顧一下,該公司去年的每股收益增長並不令人興奮,因爲它公佈了令人失望的52%的跌幅。過去三年看起來也不太好,因爲該公司的每股收益總共縮減了16%。因此,可以公平地說,最近的收益增長對公司來說是不可取的。
將中期收益軌跡與整個市場對11%的擴張預測進行權衡,可以看出這是一種令人不快的表情。
有了這些信息,我們發現Vicplas International的交易市盈率與市場相當相似。看來大多數投資者都忽視了最近的糟糕增長率,並希望公司的業務前景有所好轉。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收益趨勢的延續最終可能會壓制股價。
最後一句話
隨着股價跌入低谷,Vicplas International現在的市盈率看起來相當一般。儘管市盈率不應該成爲決定你是否買入股票的決定性因素,但它是衡量收益預期的有力晴雨表。
我們已經確定,Vicplas International目前的市盈率高於預期,因爲其最近的收益在中期內有所下降。當我們看到收益倒退且表現低於市場預期時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,從而使溫和的市盈率走低。如果最近的中期收益趨勢持續下去,將使股東的投資面臨風險,潛在投資者面臨支付不必要的溢價的危險。
在你確定自己的意見之前,我們已經發現了Vicplas國際的4個警告標誌,你應該注意這些信號。
當然,你也可以找到比Vicplas International更好的股票。因此,你不妨免費查看其他市盈率合理且收益強勁增長的公司。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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