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Optimistic Investors Push Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO,.Ltd. (SHSE:688171) Shares Up 43% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 13 14:13

Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO,.Ltd. (SHSE:688171) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 43% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 24% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.5x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688171 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 13th 2024

How Has Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 49% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guangdong Weide Information Technology CO.Ltd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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