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Hua Xia Bank (SHSE:600015) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 0.8% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Hua Xia Bank (SHSE:600015) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 0.8% If They Invested Five Years Ago

華夏銀行(SHSE: 600015)如果投資者在五年前進行投資,他們將蒙受0.8%的損失
Simply Wall St ·  03/10 08:08

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Hua Xia Bank Co., Limited (SHSE:600015) share price up 13% in a single quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 22%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.

儘管這對一些股東來說可能還不夠,但我們認爲看到華夏銀行有限公司(SHSE: 600015)股價在單季度內上漲13%是件好事。但是在過去的五年中,該股表現不佳。實際上,股價下跌了22%,遠低於購買指數基金所能獲得的回報。

It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.

值得評估的是,該公司的經濟狀況是否與這些令人難以置信的股東回報步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。所以我們就這麼做吧。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

While the share price declined over five years, Hua Xia Bank actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 1.2% per year. So it doesn't seem like EPS is a great guide to understanding how the market is valuing the stock. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在五年內下跌,但華夏銀行實際上設法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增長1.2%。因此,每股收益似乎不是了解市場如何估值股票的好指南。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。

Given EPS is up and the share price is down, it's clear the market is more concerned about the business than it was previously. Generally speaking, though, if the company can keep growing EPS then the share price will eventually follow.

鑑於每股收益上升,股價下跌,很明顯,市場比以前更關心該業務。但是,總的來說,如果公司能夠繼續增長每股收益,那麼股價最終將隨之而來。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片發現確切的值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600015 Earnings Per Share Growth March 10th 2024
SHSE: 600015 每股收益增長 2024 年 3 月 10 日

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Hua Xia Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

可能值得一看我們關於華夏銀行收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Hua Xia Bank's TSR for the last 5 years was -0.8%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,華夏銀行過去5年的股東總回報率爲-0.8%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that Hua Xia Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 30% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 0.2% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Hua Xia Bank has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

很高興看到華夏銀行的股東在過去一年中獲得了30%的總股東回報率。這包括股息。值得注意的是,五年期股東總回報率每年虧損0.2%,與最近的股價表現相比非常不利。這使我們有點警惕,但該企業可能已經扭轉了命運。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,冒險吧——華夏銀行有1個我們認爲你應該注意的警告信號。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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