Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600172) 35% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600172) 35% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Henan Huanghe Whirlwind Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600172) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 46% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's P/S ratio of 2.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Machinery industry in China is also close to 2.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Henan Huanghe Whirlwind will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 20% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Henan Huanghe Whirlwind appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We find it unexpected that Henan Huanghe Whirlwind trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Henan Huanghe Whirlwind with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If you're unsure about the strength of Henan Huanghe Whirlwind's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
河南黃河旋風股份有限公司(SHSE: 600172)股東無疑高興地看到,股價在上個月反彈了35%,儘管該公司仍在努力彌補最近的失地。並非所有股東都會感到歡欣鼓舞,因爲股價在過去十二個月中仍然下跌了令人失望的46%。
儘管價格穩步反彈,但您對河南黃河旋風2.2倍的市銷率漠不關心仍然是可以原諒的,因爲中國機械行業的中位市銷率(或 “市銷率”)也接近2.7倍。儘管這可能不會引起任何關注,但如果市銷率不合理,投資者可能會錯過潛在的機會或無視迫在眉睫的失望情緒。
河南黃河旋風的市銷率對股東意味着什麼?
例如,河南黃河旋風最近收入的下降值得深思。一種可能性是市銷率適中,因爲投資者認爲公司在不久的將來可能仍然做得足夠多,足以與整個行業保持一致。如果你喜歡這家公司,你至少希望情況確實如此,這樣你就有可能在它不太受青睞的情況下買入一些股票。
想全面了解公司的收益、收入和現金流嗎?那麼我們關於河南黃河旋風的免費報道將幫助您了解其歷史表現。河南黃河旋風的收入增長趨勢如何?
人們固有的假設是,公司應該與行業相提並論,這樣河南黃河旋風的市銷率才算合理。
回顧過去,去年的公司收入下降了20%,令人沮喪。結果,三年前的總體收入也下降了20%。因此,不幸的是,我們必須承認,在這段時間內,該公司在增加收入方面做得不好。
相比之下,該行業預計將在未來12個月內實現27%的增長,根據最近的中期收入業績,該公司的下滑勢頭令人震驚。
考慮到這一點,我們感到擔憂的是,河南黃河旋風的市銷率超過同行。顯然,該公司的許多投資者並不像最近所表明的那樣看跌,他們現在不願意放棄股票。只有最大膽的人才會假設這些價格是可持續的,因爲近期收入趨勢的延續最終可能會壓制股價。
最後一句話
河南黃河旋風似乎重新受到青睞,價格穩步上漲,使其市盈率與業內其他公司保持一致。有人認爲,在某些行業,市銷率是衡量價值的較差指標,但它可能是一個有力的商業信心指標。
我們發現出乎意料的是,儘管中期收入有所下降,但河南黃河旋風的市銷率卻與該行業其他部門相當,而整個行業預計將增長。儘管它與行業相匹配,但我們對當前的市銷率感到不舒服,因爲這種慘淡的收入表現不太可能長期支持更積極的情緒。除非近期中期情況有所改善,否則預計公司股東將面臨艱難時期是沒有錯的。
在公司的資產負債表上可以找到許多其他重要的風險因素。看看我們對河南黃河旋風的免費資產負債表分析,對其中一些關鍵因素進行了六次簡單檢查。
如果您不確定河南黃河旋風的業務實力,爲什麼不瀏覽我們的互動式股票清單,其中列出了一些您可能錯過的其他公司,這些股票具有穩健的業務基本面。
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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