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Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Using Too Much Debt?

江蘇同利日升機械(SHSE: 605286)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  02/27 10:01

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605286) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,江蘇同利日升機械有限公司(SHSE: 605286)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Carry?

江蘇同利日盛機械揹負了多少債務?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had CN¥462.5m in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. But it also has CN¥640.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥177.6m net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,江蘇同利日盛機械在2023年9月有4.625億元人民幣的債務;與前一年大致相同。但它也有6.401億元的現金來抵消這一點,這意味着它有1.776億元的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:605286 Debt to Equity History February 27th 2024
SHSE: 605286 2024 年 2 月 27 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Balance Sheet?

江蘇同利日升機械的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had liabilities of CN¥1.16b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥199.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥640.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.20b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥485.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,江蘇同利日盛機械的負債爲11.6億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲1.997億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有6.401億元人民幣的現金以及價值12億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有4.854億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期的流動性表明,由於資產負債表遠未捉襟見肘,江蘇同利日盛機械可能會輕鬆還清債務。簡而言之,江蘇同利日盛機械的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has boosted its EBIT by 40%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,江蘇同利日盛機械已將其息稅前利潤提高了40%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲江蘇同利日盛機械需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。江蘇同利日盛機械的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但仍然值得關注的是,該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,江蘇同利日盛機械的自由現金流總額爲負數。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has CN¥177.6m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 40% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery .

儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在本案中,江蘇同利日盛機械擁有1.776億元人民幣的淨現金和不錯的資產負債表。它的息稅前利潤比去年增長了40%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們對江蘇同利日盛機械使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在江蘇同利日盛機械上發現的1個警告標誌。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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