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HuafangLtd (SHSE:600448 Investor Five-year Losses Grow to 40% as the Stock Sheds CN¥409m This Past Week

HuafangLtd (SHSE:600448 Investor Five-year Losses Grow to 40% as the Stock Sheds CN¥409m This Past Week

华芳有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:600448)上周股价下跌4.09亿元人民币,投资者五年期亏损增长至40%
Simply Wall St ·  02/03 10:12

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term Huafang Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600448) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 40% over a half decade. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 20% in the last year. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 22% in thirty days. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 13% in the same time.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但是,即使是最好的选股者也只能通过以下方式获胜 一些 选择。因此,从长远来看,我们不会责怪华芳公司。, Ltd(上海证券交易所代码:600448)的股东对他们的持股决定表示怀疑,该股在五年内下跌了40%。而且,受伤害的不仅仅是长期持有者,因为该股去年下跌了20%。不幸的是,股价势头仍然相当不利,股价在三十天内下跌了22%。但这可能与糟糕的市场状况有关——股市同时下跌了13%。

Since HuafangLtd has shed CN¥409m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由于HuafangLtd在过去7天内已从其价值中减少了4.09亿元人民币,因此让我们看看长期下跌是否是由该企业的经济推动的。

HuafangLtd isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

HuaFangLtd目前没有盈利,因此大多数分析师会着眼于收入的增长,以了解基础业务的增长速度。无利可图的公司的股东通常期望强劲的收入增长。这是因为快速的收入增长可以很容易地推断出来预测利润,通常规模相当大。

In the last half decade, HuafangLtd saw its revenue increase by 1.6% per year. That's far from impressive given all the money it is losing. Given this fairly low revenue growth (and lack of profits), it's not particularly surprising to see the stock down 7% (annualized) in the same time frame. Investors should consider how bad the losses are, and whether the company can make it to profitability with ease. Shareholders will want the company to approach profitability if it can't grow revenue any faster.

在过去的五年中,华芳股份的收入每年增长1.6%。考虑到它损失的所有资金,这远非令人印象深刻。鉴于这种相当低的收入增长(以及缺乏利润),该股在同一时间范围内下跌7%(按年计算)也就不足为奇了。投资者应考虑损失有多严重,以及公司能否轻松实现盈利。如果公司无法更快地增加收入,股东们就会希望公司实现盈利。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收入和收入随时间推移的跟踪情况(如果您点击图片,可以看到更多细节)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600448 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 3rd 2024
SHSE: 600448 收益和收入增长 2024 年 2 月 3 日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我们很高兴地向大家报告,首席执行官的薪水比资本相似公司的大多数首席执行官都要适中。一直值得关注首席执行官的薪酬,但更重要的问题是公司多年来是否会增加收益。在买入或卖出股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,可在此处查阅。

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that HuafangLtd shares lost 20% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 25%. Given the total loss of 7% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand HuafangLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with HuafangLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管看到HuafangLtd股价全年下跌20%肯定令人失望,但这还不如25%的市场跌幅那么糟糕。鉴于五年内每年的总损失为7%,在过去的十二个月中,回报似乎有所恶化。尽管一些投资者在专门收购陷入困境(但仍被低估)的公司方面表现良好,但不要忘记巴菲特说过 “转机很少会转机”。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是,为了更好地了解HuafangLtd,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向HuafangLtd确定了1个警告信号,了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

当然,通过寻找其他地方,你可能会找到一笔不错的投资。因此,请看一下我们预计收益将增加的这份免费公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

译文内容由第三方软件翻译。


以上内容仅用作资讯或教育之目的,不构成与富途相关的任何投资建议。富途竭力但不能保证上述全部内容的真实性、准确性和原创性。
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