The Market Lifts Kencana Agri Limited (SGX:BNE) Shares 33% But It Can Do More
The Market Lifts Kencana Agri Limited (SGX:BNE) Shares 33% But It Can Do More
Despite an already strong run, Kencana Agri Limited (SGX:BNE) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Singapore's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may still consider Kencana Agri as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.1x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Kencana Agri
How Has Kencana Agri Performed Recently?
The revenue growth achieved at Kencana Agri over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kencana Agri, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Kencana Agri's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.8%. Revenue has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 0.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Kencana Agri's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Kencana Agri's P/S?
Kencana Agri's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We're very surprised to see Kencana Agri currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Kencana Agri you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
儘管已經表現強勁,但肯卡納農業有限公司(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:BNE)的股價仍在上漲,在過去三十天中上漲了33%。儘管最近的買家可能在笑,但長揸者可能不那麼高興,因爲最近的漲勢只會使該股恢復到一年前的起點。
即使在價格大幅上漲之後,考慮到在新加坡食品行業運營的公司中約有一半的市銷比(或 “市銷率”)高於0.8倍,您仍然可以將Kencana Agri視爲穩健的投資機會,其市銷率爲0.1倍。但是,僅按面值計算市銷率是不明智的,因爲可以解釋其有限的原因。
查看我們對 Kencana Agri 的最新分析
Kencana Agri 最近的表現如何?
Kencana Agri去年實現的收入增長對於大多數公司來說是完全可以接受的。許多人可能預計,可觀的收入表現將大幅下降,這抑制了市銷率。如果你喜歡這家公司,你會希望情況並非如此,這樣你就有可能在股票失寵的時候買入一些股票。
儘管沒有分析師對Kencana Agri的估計,但請看一下這個數據豐富的免費可視化工具,看看該公司如何積累收益、收入和現金流。收入增長指標告訴我們低市銷率有哪些?
只有當公司的增長有望落後於該行業時,你才能真正放心地看到像Kencana Agri一樣低的市銷率。
如果我們回顧一下去年的收入增長,該公司公佈了8.8%的可觀增長。收入總額也比三年前增長了21%,這在一定程度上要歸功於過去12個月的增長。因此,股東可能會對中期收入增長率感到滿意。
相比之下,該行業預計在未來12個月內僅實現0.9%的增長,根據最近的中期年化收入業績,該公司的勢頭更強勁。
考慮到這一點,我們發現有趣的是,Kencana Agri的市銷率與業內同行相比沒有那麼高。顯然,一些股東認爲最近的表現已經超過了極限,並且一直在接受大幅降低的銷售價格。
我們可以從 Kencana Agri 的市銷率中學到什麼?
Kencana Agri的股價最近飆升,但其市銷率仍然不高。僅使用市銷率來確定是否應該出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作爲公司未來前景的實用指南。
我們非常驚訝地看到,Kencana Agri目前的市銷率遠低於預期,因爲其最近三年的增長高於整個行業的預期。當我們看到強勁的收入和比行業更快的增長速度時,我們假設公司的盈利能力存在一些重大的潛在風險,這給市銷率帶來了下行壓力。儘管過去中期最近的收入趨勢表明價格下跌的風險很低,但投資者似乎認爲未來收入可能會出現波動。
你應該時刻考慮風險。舉個例子,我們發現了你應該注意的Kencana Agri的4個警告信號,其中兩個是令人擔憂的。
如果你喜歡實力雄厚的公司盈利,那麼你會想看看這份以低市盈率(但已證明可以增加收益)的有趣公司的免費名單。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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