share_log

China Fortune Land Development (SHSE:600340) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

China Fortune Land Development (SHSE:600340) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

華夏富地產(SHSE: 600340)有債務但沒有收益;你應該擔心嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/20 08:23

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, China Fortune Land Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600340) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,中國富地開發有限公司(SHSE: 600340)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

Check out our latest analysis for China Fortune Land Development

查看我們對華夏幸福地開發的最新分析

What Is China Fortune Land Development's Debt?

中國富地開發的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Fortune Land Development had CN¥190.2b of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥206.8b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥5.61b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥184.6b.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示華夏富地開發在2023年9月的債務爲1902億元人民幣,低於一年前的2068億元人民幣。但是,它確實有56.1億加元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲1846億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600340 Debt to Equity History January 20th 2024
SHSE: 600340 2024 年 1 月 20 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is China Fortune Land Development's Balance Sheet?

中國富地開發的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that China Fortune Land Development had liabilities of CN¥171.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥178.1b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.61b and CN¥208.7b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥134.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,華夏富地開發在12個月內到期的負債爲1712億元人民幣,在此之後到期的負債爲1781億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲56.1億元人民幣,還有價值2087億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出1349億元人民幣。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥6.15b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, China Fortune Land Development would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Fortune Land Development will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

這裏的缺陷嚴重影響了這家61.5億元人民幣的公司本身,就好像一個孩子在裝滿書本、運動裝備和喇叭的巨大揹包的重壓下掙扎一樣。因此,毫無疑問,我們將密切關注其資產負債表。歸根結底,如果債權人要求還款,中國富地開發可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲中國富地開發需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, China Fortune Land Development made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥28b, which is a fall of 24%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

在過去的12個月中,中國富地開發在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至280億元人民幣,下降了24%。至少可以說,這讓我們感到緊張。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While China Fortune Land Development's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥4.7b at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it burned through CN¥3.0b in the last year. So is this a high risk stock? We think so, and we'd avoid it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for China Fortune Land Development you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

儘管華夏幸福置地的收入下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。事實上,在息稅前利潤水平上,它損失了相當可觀的47億元人民幣。當你將其與上面提到的非常重要的資產負債表負債相結合時,我們對此非常警惕,以至於我們對正確的詞彙基本上不知所措。當然,該公司可能會有一個關於他們如何走向更光明未來的好故事。但現實是,與負債相比,它的流動資產不足,去年它消耗了30億元人民幣。那麼這是一隻高風險股票嗎?我們這麼認爲,我們會避免的。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了你應該注意的《中國財富》置地開發的3個警告信號,其中兩個信號很重要。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論