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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. (SHSE:601858)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China Science Publishing & Media Ltd. (SHSE:601858)?

股票下跌和基本面穩健:市場對中國科學出版傳媒有限公司(SHSE: 601858)的看法錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/11 13:33

China Science Publishing & Media (SHSE:601858) has had a rough month with its share price down 29%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to China Science Publishing & Media's ROE today.

中國科學出版傳媒(SHSE: 601858)經歷了艱難的一個月,其股價下跌了29%。但是,仔細觀察其穩健的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常會推動長期市場業績,因此該公司值得關注。特別是,我們今天將關注中國科學出版傳媒的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司價值增長和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。換句話說,它揭示了該公司成功地將股東投資轉化爲利潤。

See our latest analysis for China Science Publishing & Media

查看我們對《中國科學出版與傳媒》的最新分析

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股本回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China Science Publishing & Media is:

因此,根據上述公式,中國科學出版傳媒的投資回報率爲:

9.9% = CN¥493m ÷ CN¥5.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

9.9% = 4.93億元人民幣 ÷ 50億元人民幣(基於截至2023年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.10 in profit.

“回報” 是每年的利潤。將其概念化的一種方法是,公司每擁有1元人民幣的股東資本,就能獲得0.10元人民幣的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

爲什麼投資回報率對收益增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我們已經確定,投資回報率是衡量公司未來收益的有效盈利指標。根據公司選擇再投資或 “保留” 的利潤金額,我們隨後能夠評估公司未來的盈利能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。

China Science Publishing & Media's Earnings Growth And 9.9% ROE

中國科學出版傳媒的收益增長和9.9%的投資回報率

At first glance, China Science Publishing & Media's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.1%, is definitely interesting. Still, China Science Publishing & Media's net income growth of 2.4% over the past five years was mediocre at best. Remember, the company's ROE is quite low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the low growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍一看,中國科學出版傳媒的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。但是,該公司的投資回報率高於6.1%的行業平均投資回報率,這一事實絕對很有趣。儘管如此,中國科學出版傳媒在過去五年中2.4%的淨收入增長充其量只能說是平庸的。請記住,該公司的投資回報率一開始就很低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,收益的低增長也可能是由此造成的。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that China Science Publishing & Media's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 1.6% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現,與同期行業平均增長1.6%相比,中國科學出版傳媒的增長相當高,這真是令人欣喜。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601858 Past Earnings Growth January 11th 2024
SHSE: 601858 過去的收益增長 2024 年 1 月 11 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is China Science Publishing & Media fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。然後,這可以幫助他們確定股票是面向光明還是暗淡的未來。與其他公司相比,中國科學出版傳媒的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is China Science Publishing & Media Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

中國科學出版傳媒是否在有效使用其留存收益?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 43% (implying that the company retains the remaining 57% of its income), China Science Publishing & Media's earnings growth was quite low. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管中國科學出版傳媒的三年派息率中位數爲43%(這意味着該公司保留了剩餘的57%的收入),但中國科學出版傳媒的收益增長還是相當低的。因此,可能還有其他一些原因可以解釋這方面的不足。例如,業務可能會下滑。

In addition, China Science Publishing & Media has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

此外,中國科學出版傳媒在七年內一直在派發股息,這表明即使以犧牲業務增長爲代價,繼續支付股息對管理層來說也更爲重要。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we are quite pleased with China Science Publishing & Media's performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總的來說,我們對中國科學出版傳媒的表現非常滿意。具體而言,我們喜歡它一直在以適度的回報率再投資其很大一部分利潤,從而實現了收益的擴張。既然如此,分析師的最新預測顯示,該公司的收益將繼續擴大。要詳細了解分析師對公司的最新預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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