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Here's Why Tsinghua TongfangLtd (SHSE:600100) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why Tsinghua TongfangLtd (SHSE:600100) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

這就是清華同方有限公司(SHSE: 600100)負擔沉重的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/13 07:40

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Tsinghua Tongfang Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600100) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李璐對此毫不掩飾,他說:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”當你研究公司的資產負債表的風險時,自然會考慮它的資產負債表,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到清華同方有限公司, Ltd.(SHSE: 600100)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以爲企業提供幫助,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。資本主義的重要組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司會永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款機構迫使他們以不利的價格籌集資金。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

View our latest analysis for Tsinghua TongfangLtd

查看我們對清華同方有限公司的最新分析

What Is Tsinghua TongfangLtd's Net Debt?

清華同方有限公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tsinghua TongfangLtd had debt of CN¥19.1b at the end of September 2023, a reduction from CN¥21.0b over a year. On the flip side, it has CN¥7.46b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥11.7b.

您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳細信息,該圖片顯示,截至2023年9月底,清華同方有限公司的債務爲191億元人民幣,低於一年的210億元人民幣。另一方面,它擁有74.6億元人民幣的現金,淨負債約爲117億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600100 Debt to Equity History December 12th 2023
上海證券交易所:600100 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 12 月 12 日

How Healthy Is Tsinghua TongfangLtd's Balance Sheet?

清華同方有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tsinghua TongfangLtd had liabilities of CN¥28.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.35b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥7.46b as well as receivables valued at CN¥10.2b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥19.0b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,清華同方有限公司在12個月內到期的負債爲283億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲83.5億元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有74.6億元人民幣的現金以及價值102億元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出190億元人民幣。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥27.5b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Tsinghua TongfangLtd's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

相對於275億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注清華同方有限公司的債務使用情況。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被大幅稀釋。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Tsinghua TongfangLtd shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (12.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.48 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that Tsinghua TongfangLtd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥422m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tsinghua TongfangLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

清華同方有限公司的股東面臨着高淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤比率(12.9)和相當薄弱的利息覆蓋率的雙重打擊,因爲息稅前收益僅爲利息支出的0.48倍。這意味着我們會認爲它有沉重的債務負擔。但是,一線希望是,清華同方有限公司在過去十二個月中實現了4.22億元人民幣的正息稅前利潤,與上一年的虧損相比有所改善。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲清華同方有限公司需要收益來償還這筆債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。點擊此處查看交互式快照。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Tsinghua TongfangLtd reported free cash flow worth 9.7% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但是我們的最終考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,重要的是要檢查其息稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少轉換爲實際的自由現金流。去年,清華同方有限公司公佈的自由現金流佔其息稅前收益的9.7%,這確實相當低。對我們來說,較低的現金兌換率會引發一些偏執狂,那就是償還債務的能力。

Our View

我們的觀點

To be frank both Tsinghua TongfangLtd's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Tsinghua TongfangLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tsinghua TongfangLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

坦率地說,清華同方有限公司對息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的淨負債及其用息稅前收益彌補利息支出的往績都讓我們對其債務水平感到相當不舒服。話雖如此,它增長息稅前利潤的能力並不令人擔憂。總體而言,在我們看來,清華同方有限公司的資產負債表確實對業務構成了相當大的風險。因此,我們對這隻種群的警惕幾乎就像一隻飢餓的小貓要掉進主人的魚塘一樣:就像它們所說的那樣,一旦被咬傷,兩次害羞。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外的風險。請注意,清華同方有限公司在我們的投資分析中顯示了兩個警告信號,其中一個有點令人擔憂...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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