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2024 Presidential Election Betting Odds: Trump The Favorite, Newsom Gains, Haley Soars Higher, Ramaswamy Drops

2024 Presidential Election Betting Odds: Trump The Favorite, Newsom Gains, Haley Soars Higher, Ramaswamy Drops

2024 年總統大選投注賠率:特朗普最愛,紐瑟姆獲勝,海利飆升,拉馬斯瓦米下跌
Benzinga ·  2023/11/21 07:56

National election polls of registered voters point to a potential matchup of Donald Trump and Joe Biden for the 2024 presidential election, which would mark a rematch of the 2020 presidential election.

對登記選民的全國大選民意調查顯示,唐納德·特朗普和喬·拜登可能在2024年總統大選中對決,這將標誌着2020年總統大選的複賽。

The most recent betting odds support this potential rematch with Trump and Biden among the two biggest betting favorites.

最新的投注賠率支持了這場潛在的複賽,特朗普和拜登是兩大投注熱門。

What Happened: The 2024 election has been seen as a potential three-person race between Biden, Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for many months. The drop in voter support for DeSantis has been a big storyline and now sees the Republican candidate ranking seventh in betting odds for the 2024 presidential election.

發生了什麼:幾個月來,2024年大選一直被視爲拜登、特朗普和佛羅里達州州長羅恩·德桑蒂斯之間潛在的三人競選。選民對德桑蒂斯的支持率下降一直是一個重要的故事情節,現在共和黨候選人在2024年總統大選的投注賠率中排名第七。

The latest betting odds came after the first two Republican primary debates, which were skipped by Trump. The former president also skipped a third Republican debate.

最新的投注賠率是在前兩場共和黨初選辯論之後得出的,這兩場辯論被特朗普跳過。這位前總統還跳過了共和黨的第三次辯論。

Trump is also part of several ongoing and upcoming trials and took the witness stand in a civil fraud trial against himself and the Trump Organization prior to the latest betting odds.

特朗普也是幾項正在進行和即將進行的審判的一部分,在最新的投注賠率公佈之前,他在針對自己和特朗普組織的民事欺詐審判中出庭作證。

U.S. residents can't actively bet with online sportsbooks on who the next president will be. Sportsbooks such as DraftKings Inc (NASDAQ:DKNG) are live in Ontario and offer betting for residents of Canada. Foreign sportsbooks in Europe and other markets may also offer betting on the 2024 election.

美國居民無法通過在線體育博彩積極押注誰將是下一任總統。諸如DraftKings Inc(納斯達克股票代碼:DKNG)之類的體育博彩公司在安大略省上線,爲加拿大居民提供投注。歐洲和其他市場的外國體育博彩公司也可能提供對2024年大選的投注。

DraftKings CEO Jason Robins told Benzinga earlier this year he hoped someday political betting on big races such as president will be allowed in the U.S.

DraftKings首席執行官傑森·羅賓斯在今年早些時候告訴本辛加,他希望有一天美國能夠允許對總統等大型競選進行政治投注。

Here's a look at the latest betting odds from Bet365 as provided by Covers with odds from Nov. 12 along with previous odds from past months.

以下是Covers提供的bet365的最新投注賠率,其中包含11月12日的賠率以及過去幾個月的先前賠率。

Name Nov. 12, 2023 Oct. 3, 2023 Aug. 24, 2023 Aug. 2, 2023 June 2023 May 2023 April 2023 February 2023 November 2022
Donald Trump +137 +150 +200 +200 +250 +240 +250 +350 +330
Joe Biden +200 +200 +150 +162 +150 +150 +175 +250 +550
Gavin Newsom +600 +900 +1200 +1000 +2000 +3300 +4000 +2000 +1400
Nikki Haley +1200 +2000 +5000 +4000 +4000 +3300 +3500 +2000 +2800
Robert Kennedy Jr. +1600 +1400 +1600 +900 +1200 +1400 +10,000 N/A N/A
Michelle Obama +1800 +1400 +1600 +2500 +2800 +3300 +4000 +3500 +3500
Ron DeSantis +2000 +2000 +1600 +1200 +450 +450 +350 +300 +225
Kamala Harris +3300 +2800 +3300 +3300 +3000 +2800 +2500 +1800 +1200
Vivek Ramaswamy +6600 +3300 +900 +1600 +6600 +8000 +10,000

Along with the odds for the 2024 presidential election, Bet365 also has odds for the Republican nomination with the following candidates and their past odds in October.

Trump: -500 (-334)

DeSantis: +800 (+700)

Haley: +800 (+1,200)

Ramaswamy: +2800 (+1100)

Here are the odds for the Democratic party nomination:

Biden: -275

Newsom: +450

Obama: +1,000

Harris: +1,400

Related Link: Joe Biden Celebrates 81st Birthday With New Lows In Approval Ratings

Why It's Important: Trump finds himself once again topping the betting odds for a second straight month. Trump's odds improved from +150 to +137 from October to November with the 2024 presidential election officially less than a year away.

Biden continues to rank second with odds of +200, which comes after he was the favorite back in August and for several months.

Outside of the top two candidates, Democratic California Gov. Gavin Newsom ranks third, despite not being a current candidate in the race.

While Newsom hasn't declared a run against Biden for the Democratic party nomination, he will take part in a planned debate with DeSantis that will air on Fox News, a unit of Fox Corporation (NASDAQ:FOX)(NASDAQ:FOXA).

The event, which is being called "The Great Red vs. Blue State Debate," will take place on Nov. 30 beginning at 9 p.m. ET and last for 90 minutes.

A strong reception for Newsom could lead to more interest in him running in the 2024 election.

After months of soaring up the polls and betting odds, Vivek Ramaswamy dropped down to +6,600 in the odds and is ranked ninth.

DeSantis holds steady with odds of +2,000 in November, the same he held in October. The betting odds, which see the Florida governor ranked seventh, are a far cry from being the betting favorite in months past with odds of +225 to +300.

Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley continues to gain in the betting odds, which comes as she has gained support in recent election polls. Haley is listed at odds of +1,200 ranking fourth in the betting odds. Haley had odds of +2,000 in October and odds of +5,000 in August. Haley held 9% of support from Republican voters in the latest Morning Consult weekly poll.

Michelle Obama, wife of former President Barack Obama, moves down the betting odds listed at +1,800 and ranking sixth. Obama has never said she was interested in running, but many point to her being a strong candidate if Biden were to drop out of the race.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who announced he would end his run for the Democratic nomination to run as an Independent, ranks fifth with odds of +1,600, in-line with recent months.

With Mike Pence and Tim Scott dropping out of the presidential election race, the pool of candidates running continues to shrink and could impact the overall betting odds going forward.

Republican candidate Chris Christie, who is still in the race, is listed with odds of +10,000, which come as he has hovered around 2% to 3% of support from Republican voters in recent polls.

On the prediction marketplace, PredictIt, Trump has passed Biden ranking first at 39 cents, followed by the current president at 38 cents, Newsome at 13 cents and Haley at 8 cents. On PredictIt, the winner pays out $1 for each market.

For the GOP nomination, Trump leads on PredictIt at 75 cents, followed by Haley at 18 cents, DeSantis at 8 cents and Ramaswamy at 4 cents. This marked a gain for Trump, Haley and DeSantis and a drop for Ramaswamy from October.

Among Democrat candidates on PredictIt, Biden is listed at 67 cents, dropping from 70 cents in October. Newsom and Harris are ranked second and third at 24 cents and 7 cents respectively.

Read Next: Trump Leads Biden In National 2024 Election Poll

姓名 2023年11月12日 2023 年 10 月 3 日 2023年8月24日 2023年8月2日 2023 年 6 月 2023 年 5 月 2023 年 4 月 2023 年 2 月 2022 年 11 月
唐納德·特朗普 +137 +150 +200 +200 +250 +240 +250 +350 +330
喬·拜登 +200 +200 +150 +162 +150 +150 +175 +250 +550
加文·紐瑟姆 +600 +900 +1200 +1000 +2000 +3300 +4000 +2000 +1400
Nikki Haley +1200 +2000 +5000 +4000 +4000 +3300 +3500 +2000 +2800
小羅伯特·肯尼迪 +1600 +1400 +1600 +900 +1200 +1400 +10,000 不適用 不適用
米歇爾·奧巴馬 +1800 +1400 +1600 +2500 +2800 +3300 +4000 +3500 +3500
羅恩·德桑蒂斯 +2000 +2000 +1600 +1200 +450 +450 +350 +300 +225
卡瑪拉·哈里斯 +3300 +2800 +3300 +3300 +3000 +2800 +2500 +1800 +1200
Vivek Ramaswamy +6600 +3300 +900 +1600 +6600 +8000 +10,000

除了2024年總統大選的賠率外,bet365還有以下候選人獲得共和黨提名的賠率,以及他們過去在10月份的賠率。

特朗普:-500 (-334)

DeSantis:+800 (+700)

Haley:+800 (+1,200)

Ramaswamy:+2800 (+1100)

以下是民主黨獲得提名的幾率:

拜登:-275

Newsom:+450

奧巴馬:+1,000

哈里斯:+1,400

相關鏈接:喬·拜登慶祝81歲生日,支持率創下新低

爲何重要:特朗普發現自己連續第二個月再次在投注賠率上名列前茅。從10月到11月,特朗普的賠率從+150提高到+137,距離2024年總統大選還有不到一年的時間。

拜登繼續以+200的賠率排名第二,此前他在8月份連續幾個月一直是最受歡迎的球員。

除了前兩名候選人之外,加利福尼亞州民主黨州長加文·紐瑟姆儘管目前不是競選候選人,但仍排名第三。

儘管紐瑟姆尚未宣佈與拜登競選民主黨提名,但他將參加計劃中的與德桑蒂斯的辯論,該辯論將在福克斯公司(納斯達克股票代碼:FOX)(納斯達克股票代碼:FOXA)旗下的福克斯新聞播出。

該活動名爲 “紅州與藍州大辯論”,將於11月30日美國東部時間晚上9點開始,持續90分鐘。

對紐瑟姆的熱烈歡迎可能會引起人們對他參加2024年大選的更多興趣。

在民意調查和投注賠率飆升數月後,Vivek Ramaswamy的賠率降至+6,600,排名第九。

德桑蒂斯在11月份保持穩定,賠率爲+2,000,與他在10月份持平。佛羅里達州州長排名第七的投注賠率與過去幾個月最受歡迎的博彩賠率相去甚遠,賠率爲+225至+300。

南卡羅來納州前州長尼基·哈利(Nikki Haley)的投注賠率繼續上升,這是在她在最近的選舉民意調查中獲得支持之際發生的。海利的賠率爲+1,200,在投注賠率中排名第四。海利在十月份的賠率爲+2,000,八月份的賠率爲+5,000。在最新的Morning Consult每週民意調查中,海利獲得了共和黨選民9%的支持。

前總統巴拉克·奧巴馬的妻子米歇爾·奧巴馬將上榜的投注賠率下調爲+1,800,排名第六。奧巴馬從未說過她有興趣參加競選,但許多人指出,如果拜登退出競選,她是一個強有力的候選人。

小羅伯特·肯尼迪宣佈將以獨立人士身份結束民主黨提名的競選,他以+1,600的賠率排名第五,與最近幾個月持平。

隨着邁克·彭斯和蒂姆·斯科特退出總統大選,競選候選人的數量繼續減少,並可能影響未來的整體投注賠率。

仍在競選的共和黨候選人克里斯·克里斯蒂的賠率爲+10,000,而在最近的民意調查中,他的支持率一直徘徊在共和黨選民的2%至3%左右。

在預測市場PredicTit上,特朗普以39美分超過拜登排名第一,其次是現任總統,爲38美分,紐瑟姆爲13美分,海利爲8美分。在PredicTit上,獲勝者爲每個市場支付1美元。

在共和黨提名中,特朗普在PredicTit上領先75美分,其次是海利,爲18美分,德桑蒂斯爲8美分,拉馬斯瓦米爲4美分。這標誌着特朗普、海利和德桑蒂斯有所上漲,拉馬斯瓦米自10月份以來有所下降。

在PredicTit的民主黨候選人中,拜登的上市價格爲67美分,低於10月份的70美分。紐瑟姆和哈里斯分別以24美分和7美分排名第二和第三。

繼續閱讀:特朗普在2024年全國大選民意調查中領先拜登

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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