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Is Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group (SHSE:601717) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group (SHSE:601717) Using Too Much Debt?

鄭州煤礦機械集團(上海證券交易所代碼:601717)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/25 10:10

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Company Limited (SHSE:601717) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李露(Charlie Munger 支持他)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看出來 鄭州煤礦機械集團有限公司 (上海證券交易所代碼:601717)在其業務中確實使用了債務。但是,股東們是否應該擔心其對債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可以成爲一個非常好的工具。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務一起考慮。

See our latest analysis for Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group

查看我們對鄭州煤礦機械集團的最新分析

What Is Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group's Net Debt?

鄭州煤礦機械集團的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2023 Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group had debt of CN¥8.74b, up from CN¥6.88b in one year. However, it does have CN¥12.5b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥3.78b.

下圖顯示,截至2023年6月,鄭州煤礦機械集團的債務爲87.4億元人民幣,高於一年內的68.8億元人民幣。但是,它確實有125億人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲37.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601717 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2023
上海證券交易所:601717 債務與股權歷史記錄 2023 年 10 月 25 日

How Strong Is Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group's Balance Sheet?

鄭州煤礦機械集團的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group had liabilities of CN¥18.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥9.71b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥12.5b in cash and CN¥12.7b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.85b.

根據上次公佈的資產負債表,鄭州煤礦機械集團在12個月內到期的負債爲184億元人民幣,到期超過12個月的負債爲971億元人民幣。抵消了這一點,它有125億人民幣的現金和127億人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和28.5億人民幣。

Since publicly traded Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group shares are worth a total of CN¥20.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

由於公開交易的鄭州煤礦機械集團股票總價值爲205億元人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能成爲重大威脅。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。儘管確實有值得注意的負債,但鄭州煤礦機械集團的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

Another good sign is that Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 28% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一個好兆頭是,鄭州煤礦機械集團得以在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長28%,從而更容易償還債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,最重要的是未來的收益,將決定鄭州煤礦機械集團未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不能用會計利潤。儘管鄭州煤礦機械集團的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得一看其將利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解其建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度有多快。在過去的三年中,鄭州煤礦機械集團創造了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的68%,與我們的預期差不多。這種自由現金流使公司能夠在適當時償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

Although Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥3.78b. And we liked the look of last year's 28% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group .

儘管鄭州煤礦機械集團的資產負債表並不是特別強勁,但由於負債總額,其淨現金爲37.8億元人民幣,這顯然是積極的。我們也喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長28%的樣子。那麼鄭州煤礦機械集團的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該意識到 1 個警告標誌 我們在鄭州煤礦機械集團見過面。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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