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Shareholders in Mandarin Oriental International (SGX:M04) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Mandarin Oriental International (SGX:M04) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

文華東方國際集團(新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:M04)的股東如果在五年前投資,他們將處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/16 08:02

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Mandarin Oriental International Limited (SGX:M04), since the last five years saw the share price fall 16%.

選股的主要目的是尋找超越市場的股票。但是在任何投資組合中,個股之間的結果好壞參半。此時,一些股東可能會質疑他們在以下方面的投資 文華東方國際有限公司 新加坡證券交易所股票代碼:M04),自過去五年以來,股價下跌了16%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,讓我們來看看公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的進展一致。

Check out our latest analysis for Mandarin Oriental International

查看我們對文華東方國際酒店的最新分析

Given that Mandarin Oriental International didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

鑑於文華東方國際集團在過去十二個月中沒有盈利,我們將專注於收入增長,以快速了解其業務發展。無利可圖公司的股東通常期望收入增長強勁。一些公司願意推遲盈利以更快地增加收入,但在這種情況下,人們確實期望收入增長良好。

Over half a decade Mandarin Oriental International reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 11% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 3% compound, over five years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.

在過去的五年中,文華東方國際集團過去十二個月的收入每年減少11%。客氣地說,這使它屬於一個沒有吸引力的群體。從表面上看,我們假設股價在五年內複合下跌了3%,這是基本面惡化的充分理由。我們懷疑許多股東是否對這種股價表現感到滿意。企業有可能反彈,但正如巴菲特所說,“轉機很少發生”。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:M04 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2023
新加坡交易所:M04 收益和收入增長 2023 年 10 月 16 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在此看到其資產負債表是如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)的 免費的 交互式圖形。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Mandarin Oriental International the TSR over the last 5 years was -13%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。雖然股價回報僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設是再投資)以及任何貼現融資或分拆的收益。可以公平地說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了支付股息的股票。我們注意到,文華東方國際集團過去5年的股東總回報率爲-13%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 7.4% in the last year, Mandarin Oriental International shareholders lost 10% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Mandarin Oriental International .

儘管整個市場在去年上漲了約7.4%,但文華東方國際集團的股東卻下跌了10%(甚至包括股息)。即使是好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前,看到企業的基本面指標有所改善。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明挑戰尚未解決,因爲這比過去五年中3%的年化虧損還要糟糕。總體而言,長期股價疲軟可能是一個壞兆頭,儘管逆勢投資者可能想研究該股以期出現轉機。我發現從長遠來看,將股價作爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,你應該意識到 1 個警告標誌 我們發現了文華東方國際酒店。

But note: Mandarin Oriental International may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意: 文華東方國際可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以來看看這個 免費的 過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在新加坡交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 取得聯繫 直接和我們在一起。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。 我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街在上述任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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