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Stock Market Slips Ahead Of Key Inflation Data, Fed Decision On Rates: The Bull, Bear Case

Stock Market Slips Ahead Of Key Inflation Data, Fed Decision On Rates: The Bull, Bear Case

在關鍵通脹數據公佈之前,股市下滑,美聯儲利率決定:牛市、熊市案例
Benzinga ·  2023/09/13 00:04

The SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) was slipping almost 0.5% on Tuesday ahead of Apple's highly-anticipated iPhone event, where one analyst expects to see the tech giant showcase a premium lineup of products.

這個 SPDR 標準普爾 500 在蘋果備受期待的iPhone活動之前,紐約證券交易所代碼:SPY)週二下跌了近0.5%,一位分析師預計,這家科技巨頭將展示一系列高端產品。

Wednesday's key inflation report is weighing on investors who will be watching to see if consumer price index data shows inflation continued to creep higher in August after rising slightly in July. The economic data comes ahead of the Federal Reserve's next meeting, which takes place on Sept. 19 and Sept. 20, when the central bank will decide whether to hike interest rates or apply a pause.

週三的關鍵通脹報告給投資者帶來壓力,他們將關注消費者物價指數數據是否顯示通貨膨脹率在7月份小幅上升之後,在8月份繼續攀升。經濟數據早於 美聯儲的 下次會議將於9月19日和9月20日舉行,屆時央行將決定是加息還是暫停。

Some traders may sit on the sidelines until the report prints, while others may choose to place their bets on how the market will react when the data is released.

一些交易者可能會在報告打印之前袖手旁觀,而另一些交易者則可能選擇將賭注押在數據發佈時市場的反應上。

More experienced traders who wish to play the SPY either bullishly or bearishly may choose to do so through one of two Direxion ETFs. Bullish traders can enter a short-term position in Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXL) and bearish traders can trade the inverse ETF, Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (NYSE:SPXS).

希望以看漲或看跌的方式玩SPY的經驗更豐富的交易者可以選擇通過兩隻Direxion ETF中的一隻進行交易。看漲的交易者可以進入短期頭寸 Direxion Daily 標準普爾500指數牛市3X股 紐約證券交易所代碼:SPXL)和看跌的交易者可以交易反向ETF, Direxion Daily 標準普爾500指數 Bear 3X (紐約證券交易所:SPXS)。

The ETFs: SPXL and SPXS are triple leveraged funds that track the movement of the SPY, seeking a return of 300% or –300% on the return of the benchmark index over a single day.

交易所買賣基金: SPXL和SPXS是追蹤SPY走勢的三重槓桿基金,尋求基準指數單日回報率爲300%或—300%的回報。

It should be noted that leveraged ETFs are meant to be used as a trading vehicle as opposed to long-term investments.

應該注意的是,槓桿ETF旨在用作交易工具,而不是長期投資。

The SPXS Chart: SPXS was trading slightly higher on Tuesday, inversely correlating to the movement of the SPY. SPXS's small rise was taking place on lower-than-average volume, which indicates a period of consolidation and lack of interest in the general market from investors ahead of CPI data.

SPXS 圖表: SPXS週二小幅上漲,與SPY的走勢成反比。SPXS的小幅上漲是在交易量低於平均水平的情況下發生的,這表明在消費者價格指數數據公佈之前,投資者已經進入了盤整期,對大盤缺乏興趣。

  • From a technical analysis perspective, the mostly sideways trading on lower-than-average volume, paired with the ETF's 18% jump higher between Sept. 1 and Monday, has settled SPXS into a bull flag pattern on the daily chart. The measured move of the formation suggests the fund could rise toward about $11.60 if SPXS breaks up from the bull flag on higher-than-average volume.
  • SPXS is also trading in an uptrend, making a series of higher highs and higher lows. The most recent higher high was formed on Monday at $10.63 and the most recent lower low was printed at the $9.81 mark on that same day.
  • If SPXS breaks up from the bull flag pattern, the ETF is likely to form another higher high to continue in its trend. On Tuesday, the ETF was also trading in an inside bar pattern, which leans bullish for continuation on Wednesday.
  • SPXS has resistance above at $11.11 and at $12.62 and support below at $9.54 and at $8.17.
  • 從技術分析的角度來看,交易量低於平均水平的大部分橫盤交易,再加上ETF在9月1日至週一期間上漲了18%,這使SPXS在日線圖上陷入了牛市模式。該股的謹慎走勢表明,如果SPXS因交易量高於平均水平而脫離牛市,該基金可能會升至約11.60美元。
  • SPXS也呈上升趨勢,創出一系列更高的高點和更高的低點。最近的較高高點是在週一形成的,爲10.63美元,而最近的較低低點是在同一天創下9.81美元大關。
  • 如果SPXS擺脫牛旗模式,則ETF很可能會再創一個更高的高點以繼續其趨勢。週二,該ETF也以內柱形態交易,該模式傾向於看漲,週三將延續。
  • SPXS的阻力位在11.11美元和12.62美元上方,支撐位在9.54美元和8.17美元下方。

screenshot_14.pngRead Next: Why S&P 500, Nasdaq Are Set To Open In The Red Today

繼續閱讀:爲什麼標準普爾500指數、納斯達克指數今天將下跌

Image sourced from Shutterstock

圖片來自 Shutterstock

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