share_log

We Think Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Hundsun Technologies (SHSE:600570) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認為恒盛科技(SHE:600570)可以保持在其債務之上
Simply Wall St ·  2023/03/21 10:48

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Hundsun Technologies Inc. (SHSE:600570) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

外部基金經理在伯克希爾·哈撒韋(Charlie Munger)的查理·蒙格(Charlie Munger Lu)支持下,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」因此,當您考慮任何給定股票的風險時,很明顯,您需要考慮債務,因為過多的債務可能會使公司下沉。我們可以看到 鴻盛科技股份有限公司 證券交易所代號:600570)確實在其業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:債務創造了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

當債務是一個問題嗎?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只會成為一個真正的問題,當一個公司不能輕易償還它,無論是通過籌集資金或自己的現金流。如果事情變得非常糟糕,貸方可以採取業務的控制權。儘管這並不常見,但我們經常看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因為貸款人迫使他們以不良的價格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於,它往往代表著廉價的資本,特別是當它以高回報率進行再投資的公司中取代稀釋時。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是一起考慮其現金和債務。

Check out our latest analysis for Hundsun Technologies

查看我們對恒盛科技的最新分析

What Is Hundsun Technologies's Net Debt?

恒盛科技的淨債務是什麼?

As you can see below, Hundsun Technologies had CN¥526.7m of debt at September 2022, down from CN¥669.8m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥2.82b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.29b.

如下所示,亨德科技於 2022 年 9 月擁有約 526.7 萬人民幣的債務,較前一年的人民幣 669.8 億元下降。但是,它確實有 2.82 萬元的現金抵銷,導致淨現金達到 2.29 萬元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600570 Debt to Equity History March 21st 2023
上海證券交易所股份代號:600570 債務對股本歷史

A Look At Hundsun Technologies' Liabilities

看看恒生科技的責任

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hundsun Technologies had liabilities of CN¥4.71b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥373.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥973.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.29b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,恒盛科技有 12 個月內到期的 CNY¥4.71b 的負債,超出了 373.4 億人民幣的負債。抵銷這些義務,它擁有 2.82 億元人民幣的現金以及 12 個月內到期的應收賬款。因此,其負債總額 CNY 1.29 億元超過其現金和短期應收賬款的組合。

This state of affairs indicates that Hundsun Technologies' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥85.8b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Hundsun Technologies also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

這種狀態表明亨德森科技的資產負債表看起來相當穩固,因為其總負債幾乎等於其流動資產。因此,儘管很難想像 CN¥85.8b 公司正在努力尋求現金,但我們仍然認為值得監視其資產負債表。雖然它確實有值得注意的負債,但 Hundsun Technologies 還擁有比債務更多的現金,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Hundsun Technologies if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 22% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hundsun Technologies can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

其債務負荷的謙虛可能成為至關重要的亨盛科技,如果管理層無法阻止 22% 削減到 EBIT 在過去一年的重複。當涉及到還清債務時,收入下降並不比含糖蘇打水對您的健康更有用。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,該業務的未來盈利能力將決定恒盛科技是否可以隨著時間的推移加強其資產負債表。所以如果你專注於未來,你可以看看這個 自由 顯示分析師利潤預測的報告。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Hundsun Technologies may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Hundsun Technologies's free cash flow amounted to 45% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。Hundsun Technologies 可能在資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但是看看企業如何在利息和稅收(EBIT)之前將收益轉換為自由現金流,因為這將影響其需求以及其管理債務的能力仍然很有趣。在過去的三年中,亨德森科技的自由現金流達到其稅息前利息稅前利潤的 45%,低於我們預期的。現金轉換疲弱,使得處理負債變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總結

We could understand if investors are concerned about Hundsun Technologies's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥2.29b. So we don't have any problem with Hundsun Technologies's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hundsun Technologies has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我們可以理解投資者是否擔心鴻盛科技的負債,但是我們可以放心,它的淨現金為人民幣 2.29b 元。因此,我們沒有任何問題,亨德森科技的使用債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能包含資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如-恒盛科技有限公司 1 警告標誌 我們認為您應該知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

畢竟,如果您對擁有堅如磐石的資產負債表的快速發展公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?關注內容? 取得聯繫 直接與我們聯繫。 或者,通過電子郵件發送電子郵件給編輯團隊。
這篇文章由簡單牆聖是一般性質. 我們僅使用公正的方法,根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。 它並不構成購買或出售任何股票的建議,也不會考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本數據驅動的長期集中分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。簡易華街在提及的任何股票中都沒有倉位。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
    搶先評論