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China Railway Construction (SHSE:601186) Shareholders Have Endured a 27% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

China Railway Construction (SHSE:601186) Shareholders Have Endured a 27% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago

中國鐵建 (股份代號:601186) 股東五年前投資股票虧損 27%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/01/20 07:45

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. So we wouldn't blame long term China Railway Construction Corporation Limited (SHSE:601186) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 35% over a half decade.

對許多人來説,投資的主要目的是創造比整體市場更高的回報。但即使是最好的選股者也只有在一些選擇。所以我們不會責怪長期中國鐵建有限公司(上海證券交易所:601186)股東對他們持有股票的決定表示懷疑,該股在五年內下跌了35%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

現在讓我們來看看該公司的基本面,看看長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。

View our latest analysis for China Railway Construction

看我們對中國鐵路建設的最新分析

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯維爾的超級投資者沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價並不總是理性地反映一家企業的價值。一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, China Railway Construction actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 8.0% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

不幸的是,在股價下滑的五年裏,中國鐵建的每股收益實際上以每年8.0%的速度增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。也有可能,此前市場非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股仍令人失望。

Due to the lack of correlation between the EPS growth and the falling share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movement.

由於每股收益增長和股價下跌之間缺乏相關性,因此有必要看看其他指標,試圖瞭解股價走勢。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 11% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

與股價形成對比的是,在這五年期間,營收實際上以每年11%的速度增長。對營收和收益進行更詳細的審查,可能會解釋股價低迷的原因,也可能解釋不了;可能會有機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:601186 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 19th 2023
上海證交所:601186收益和收入增長2023年1月19日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們很高興地報告,這位首席執行官的薪酬比類似資本公司的大多數首席執行官都要低。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for China Railway Construction the TSR over the last 5 years was -27%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。公平地説,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。我們注意到,對於中國鐵建而言,過去5年的TSR為-27%,好於上述股價回報。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While it's certainly disappointing to see that China Railway Construction shares lost 5.0% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 12%. Of far more concern is the 5% p.a. loss served to shareholders over the last five years. This sort of share price action isn't particularly encouraging, but at least the losses are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Railway Construction better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Railway Construction that you should be aware of.

雖然看到中國鐵建的股票全年下跌了5.0%當然令人失望,但這並沒有股市下跌12%那麼糟糕。更令人擔憂的是5%的年利率。在過去的五年裏,虧損給股東帶來了損失。這種股價走勢並不特別鼓舞人心,但至少損失正在放緩。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地理解中國鐵路建設,還需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們已經確定中國鐵路建設的1個警示標誌這一點你應該知道。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,你會的想懷念這一切嗎?免費內部人士正在收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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