Bank of Beijing (SHSE:601169) Shareholders Have Endured a 19% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago
Bank of Beijing (SHSE:601169) Shareholders Have Endured a 19% Loss From Investing in the Stock Five Years Ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But even the best stock picker will only win with some selections. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Bank of Beijing Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601169), since the last five years saw the share price fall 39%.
Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.
View our latest analysis for Bank of Beijing
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Bank of Beijing actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 1.5% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, five years ago. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
SHSE:601169 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 14th 2022It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. You can see what analysts are predicting for Bank of Beijing in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Bank of Beijing the TSR over the last 5 years was -19%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Bank of Beijing shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 5.6% over the last year. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 4% per year over five years. We generally put more weight on the long term performance over the short term, but the recent improvement could hint at a (positive) inflection point within the business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bank of Beijing better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that Bank of Beijing is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
We will like Bank of Beijing better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CN exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
為了證明挑選個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市場指數基金的回報。但即使是最好的選股者也只有在一些選擇。在這一點上,一些股東可能會質疑他們在北京銀行股份有限公司。(上交所:601169),自過去五年以來,股價下跌了39%。
由於股東在較長期內下跌,讓我們看看這段時間的基本基本面,看看它們是否與回報一致。
查看我們對北京銀行的最新分析
本傑明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原話是:短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但從長遠來看,它是一臺稱重機。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
不幸的是,在股價下滑的五年裏,北京銀行的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年1.5%的速度增長。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑,每股收益不是這段時間內業務表現的良好指南(可能是因為一次性的虧損或收益)。也有可能,此前市場非常樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所改善,但該股仍令人失望。
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以假設,五年前,市場曾預期會有更高的增長。看看其他指標可能更好地解釋了股價的變化。
穩定的股息並不能真正解釋股價下跌的原因。我們目前還不清楚為什麼股價會下跌,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
上海證交所:601169收益和收入增長2022年12月14日可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,儘管CEO的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是,公司能否在未來實現收益增長。你可以看到分析師在這方面對北京銀行的預測互動未來利潤預估圖表。
那股息呢?
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。可以説,TSR更全面地描繪了一隻股票產生的回報。我們注意到,北京銀行過去5年的TSR為-19%,好於上述股價回報率。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。
不同的視角
很高興看到北京銀行的股東在過去一年中獲得了5.6%的總股東回報。這還包括股息。毫無疑問,最近的回報率遠遠好於TSR在過去五年中每年4%的損失。我們通常更看重短期的長期表現,但最近的改善可能暗示着業務內部出現(積極的)拐點。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但為了更好地瞭解北京銀行,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。即便如此,請注意,北京銀行正在表現出在我們的投資分析中出現1個警告信號,你應該知道關於……
如果我們看到一些大的內部收購,我們會更喜歡北京銀行。在我們等待的時候,看看這個免費最近有大量內幕收購的成長型公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在CN交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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