Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's (NYSE:SQM) investors will be pleased with their stellar 200% return over the last three years
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile's (NYSE:SQM) investors will be pleased with their stellar 200% return over the last three years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But in contrast you can make much more than 100% if the company does well. To wit, the Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (NYSE:SQM) share price has flown 176% in the last three years. Most would be happy with that. Then again, the 9.5% share price decline hasn't been so fun for shareholders.
With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.
See our latest analysis for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During three years of share price growth, Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile achieved compound earnings per share growth of 44% per year. We note that the 40% yearly (average) share price gain isn't too far from the EPS growth rate. Coincidence? Probably not. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
NYSE:SQM Earnings Per Share Growth July 16th 2022We know that Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile the TSR over the last 3 years was 200%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 87% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 20% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最糟糕的結果是,在購買了一家公司的股票後(假設沒有槓桿),你投入的所有資金都會虧損。但相比之下,你可以賺很多錢更多如果公司做得好的話,就會比100%更好。也就是説,智利́雲母協會。(紐約證券交易所股票代碼:SQM)股價在過去三年裏上漲了176%。大多數人會對此感到高興。話又説回來,9.5%的股價下跌對股東來説並不是那麼有趣。
考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。
請參閲我們對智利́雲母社會的最新分析
用巴菲特的話説,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。
在三年的股價增長中,智利́雲和礦產公司實現了每年44%的複合每股收益增長。我們注意到,40%的年(平均)股價漲幅與每股收益增長率相差不遠。巧合?大概不會吧。這表明,在這段時間裏,圍繞該公司的市場情緒沒有太大變化。相反,該公司股價已大致追隨每股收益的增長。
下圖描述了EPS是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的(通過單擊圖像來揭示確切的值)。
紐約證券交易所:SQM每股收益增長2022年7月16日我們知道,在過去的三年裏,智利́Mica y Minera的利潤有所提高,但未來會是什麼樣子?也許很值得一看我們的免費報告其財務狀況如何隨着時間的推移而發生變化。
那股息呢?
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。公平地説,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。我們注意到,對於智利́雲母公司,過去3年的總回報率為200%,這比上面提到的股價回報率要好。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
不同的視角
我們很高興地報告,在一年的時間裏,智利國民銀行(Sociedad QuíMica y Minera de智利)的股東獲得了87%的總股東回報。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期的TSR好於五年期的TSR(後者的年收益率為20%),看起來該股的表現在最近有所改善。持樂觀觀點的人可能會認為,最近TSR的改善表明,業務本身正在隨着時間的推移而變得更好。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但是,為了更好地理解智利́Mica y Minera de智利社會,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了三個警告信號與智利́雲母和智利礦產社會(至少1,這是有點不愉快),並瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。
譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。
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