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Is Livent (NYSE:LTHM) A Risky Investment?

Is Livent (NYSE:LTHM) A Risky Investment?

利文特(NYSE:LTHM)是一項高風險的投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2022/06/08 04:26

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Livent Corporation (NYSE:LTHM) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

一些人説,作為投資者,考慮風險的最佳方式是波動性,而不是債務,但巴菲特曾説過一句名言:波動性遠非風險的同義詞。因此,當你評估一家公司的風險有多大時,聰明的投資者似乎知道債務--通常涉及破產--是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣利文特公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:LTHM)利用債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓該公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什麼時候債務是個問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的一種工具,但如果一家企業無法償還貸款人的債務,那麼它就只能聽從貸款人的擺佈。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,它可能會破產。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東的股份,才能控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是一家公司對債務管理得相當好--並對自己有利。當考慮一家企業使用了多少債務時,首先要做的是把現金和債務放在一起看。

See our latest analysis for Livent

查看我們對利文特的最新分析

What Is Livent's Net Debt?

利文特的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Livent had debt of US$240.8m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from US$298.9m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$68.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$172.3m.

下圖顯示,截至2022年3月底,利文特的債務為2.408億美元,低於一年內的2.98億美元。然而,由於它擁有6850萬美元的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約為1.723億美元。

NYSE:LTHM Debt to Equity History June 7th 2022
紐約證券交易所:LTHM債轉股歷史2022年6月7日

How Healthy Is Livent's Balance Sheet?

利文特的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Livent had liabilities of US$120.3m due within a year, and liabilities of US$273.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$68.5m as well as receivables valued at US$127.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$197.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,利文特有1.203億美元的債務在一年內到期,2.733億美元的債務在一年後到期。為了抵消這些債務,它有6850萬美元的現金以及價值1.275億美元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款加起來還要多1.976億美元。

Of course, Livent has a market capitalization of US$4.89b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

當然,利文特的市值為48.9億美元,因此這些負債可能是可控的。但有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東繼續監控未來的資產負債表。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們通過查看公司的淨債務除以利息、税項、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA),並計算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出(利息覆蓋)的容易程度,來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力的關係。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了為其支付的利率。

Livent's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.5 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Livent turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$86m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Livent's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

利文特的淨債務與EBITDA之比約為1.5,表明只適度使用債務。其高達利息支出1k倍的息税前利潤,意味着債務負擔輕如孔雀羽毛。同樣令人高興的是,儘管去年息税前利潤出現虧損,但利文特在過去12個月扭虧為盈,實現了8600萬美元的息税前利潤。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。但最重要的是,未來的收益將決定利文特未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, Livent burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但我們的最後考慮也很重要,因為一家公司不能用賬面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,有必要檢查一下息税前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。去年,利文特燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務的風險大得多。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Livent is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Livent's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Livent has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

根據我們所看到的,利文特發現這並不容易,因為它將息税前利潤轉換為自由現金流,但我們考慮的其他因素讓我們有理由樂觀。特別是,它的利息封面讓我們眼花繚亂。看着所有這些數據,我們對利文特的債務水平感到有點謹慎。雖然我們認識到債務可以提高股本回報率,但我們建議股東密切關注其債務水平,以免增加。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是你關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中--遠非如此。例如,利文特有3個警示標誌(和1,這有點不愉快)我們認為你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資於可以在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的企業,那麼看看這個免費資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業名單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


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