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Federal Agricultural Mortgage's (NYSE:AGM) earnings growth rate lags the 14% CAGR delivered to shareholders

Federal Agricultural Mortgage's (NYSE:AGM) earnings growth rate lags the 14% CAGR delivered to shareholders

聯邦農業抵押貸款(紐約證券交易所代碼:AGM)的收益增長率落後於向股東交付的14%的複合年增長率
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/13 21:34

It hasn't been the best quarter forFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation(NYSE:AGM) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 19% in that time. On the bright side the share price is up over the last half decade. However we are not very impressed because the share price is only up 65%, less than the market return of 79%.

這不是最好的季度聯邦農業抵押貸款公司紐約證券交易所代碼:AGM)的股東,因爲那段時間股價下跌了19%。好的一面是,在過去的五年中,股價上漲了。但是,我們並沒有留下深刻的印象,因爲股價僅上漲了65%,低於79%的市場回報率。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.5%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近出現了5.5%的回調,讓我們來看看基本面是否與股價相符。

Check out our latest analysis for Federal Agricultural Mortgage

查看我們對聯邦農業抵押貸款的最新分析

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Over half a decade, Federal Agricultural Mortgage managed to grow its earnings per share at 10% a year. That makes the EPS growth particularly close to the yearly share price growth of 10%. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

在過去的五年中,聯邦農業抵押貸款成功地將其每股收益增長了10%。這使得每股收益的增長特別接近股價年增長10%。因此,人們可以得出結論,人們對股票的情緒並沒有太大變化。相反,股價大致追蹤了每股收益的增長。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).NYSE:AGM Earnings Per Share Growth May 13th 2022

你可以在下圖中看到每股收益隨時間的變化情況(點擊圖表查看確切數值)。NYSE: AGM 每股收益增長 2022 年 5 月 13 日

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..What About Dividends?

很高興看到在過去三個月中出現了一些重大的內幕買盤。這是積極的。另一方面,我們認爲收入和收益趨勢是衡量業務的更有意義的指標。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細研究歷史增長趨勢,可在此處查閱。分紅呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Federal Agricultural Mortgage the TSR over the last 5 years was 96%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!A Different Perspective

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮股東總回報(TSR)。股東總回報率根據股息被再投資的假設納入了任何分拆或貼現資本籌集的價值以及任何股息。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常比股價回報率高得多。我們注意到,對於聯邦農業抵押貸款,過去5年的股東總回報率爲96%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了分歧,這是沒有好處的!不同的視角

We're pleased to report that Federal Agricultural Mortgage shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 2.0% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Having said that, the five-year TSR of 14% a year, is even better. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Federal Agricultural Mortgage is showing1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about...

我們很高興地向大家報告,聯邦農業抵押貸款股東在一年內獲得的股東總回報率爲2.0%。這確實包括股息。話雖如此,每年14%的五年股東總回報率甚至更好。潛在買家可能會覺得自己錯過了機會,這是可以理解的,但業務仍然有可能運轉良好。我發現從長遠來看,將股價作爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但是,爲了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意聯邦農業抵押貸款正在出現我們的投資分析中有1個警告信號,你應該知道...

Federal Agricultural Mortgage is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at thisfreelist of growing companies with insider buying.

聯邦農業抵押貸款並不是業內人士唯一購買的股票。所以來看看這個免費的有內幕收購的成長型公司名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touchwith us directly.Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?取得聯繫直接和我們聯繫。或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature.We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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