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There's No Escaping Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) Muted Earnings

There's No Escaping Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) Muted Earnings

中國外運有限公司(HKG:598)低迷的收益無法逃脱
Simply Wall St ·  2022/05/03 10:14

Sinotrans Limited's (HKG:598) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 3.9x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

中國外運有限公司(HKG:598)3.9倍的市盈率(或“市盈率”)可能使其與香港市場相比看起來是一個強勁的買入,香港大約一半的公司的市盈率高於10倍,即使市盈率高於19倍也是相當常見的。儘管如此,我們還需要更深入地挖掘,以確定市盈率大幅下降是否有合理的基礎。

Sinotrans' earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

中外運最近的盈利增長與大多數其他公司非常相似。一種可能性是,市盈率較低,因為投資者認為這種温和的盈利表現可能會開始下滑。如果不是,那麼現有股東有理由對股價的未來走向持樂觀態度。

View our latest analysis for Sinotrans

查看我們對中國外運的最新分析

SEHK:598 Price Based on Past Earnings May 3rd 2022 Keen to find out how analysts think Sinotrans' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
聯交所:598基於過去收益的價格2022年5月3日渴望瞭解分析師如何看待中國外運的未來與行業的競爭?在這種情況下,我們的免費報告是一個很好的起點。

Is There Any Growth For Sinotrans?

中國外運有增長嗎?

Sinotrans' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

中外運的市盈率對於一家預計將出現非常糟糕的增長甚至盈利下降的公司來説是典型的,更重要的是,它的表現比市場差得多。

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen a 18% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

回顧過去一年,公司的利潤實現了17%的不同尋常的增長。在最近三年期間,每股收益也出現了18%的整體增長,這在很大程度上得益於其短期表現。因此,股東很可能會對中期盈利增長率感到滿意。

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 3.9% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

談到前景,關注該公司的八位分析師估計,未來三年的年增長率應為3.9%。與此同時,其他市場預計將以每年15%的速度增長,這顯然更具吸引力。

With this information, we can see why Sinotrans is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

有了這些信息,我們就可以理解為什麼中外運的市盈率低於市場。似乎大多數投資者預計未來的增長有限,只願意為該股支付較低的價格。

The Final Word

最後的結論

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

有人認為,市盈率是衡量某些行業價值的次要指標,但它可以成為一個強大的商業信心指標。

We've established that Sinotrans maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

我們已經確定,中外運維持低市盈率的原因是,正如預期的那樣,其預期增長低於大盤。目前,股東們正在接受低市盈率,因為他們承認,未來的收益可能不會帶來任何令人愉快的驚喜。在這種情況下,很難看到股價在不久的將來強勁上漲。

Having said that, be aware Sinotrans is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

話雖如此,請注意,中國外運在我們的投資分析中顯示出一個警告信號,你應該知道。

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

重要的是確保你尋找的是一家偉大的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。所以讓我們來看看這個免費近期盈利增長強勁(市盈率低於20倍)的有趣公司名單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
這篇由《華爾街日報》撰寫的文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡單地説,華爾街在提到的任何股票中都沒有頭寸。

譯文內容由第三人軟體翻譯。


以上內容僅用作資訊或教育之目的,不構成與富途相關的任何投資建議。富途竭力但無法保證上述全部內容的真實性、準確性和原創性。
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