Rating: BUY (Initiation)
Target price: RMB108.00
Share price (9 Sep): RMB85.01
Market Cap (RMBm): 6,800.8
Up/downside: 27.0%
Functional device manufacturer BSC is growing rapidly, with revenue and net profit CAGRs of 34.65% and 34% respectively; 1H21 revenue was RMB300m, up 54.4% yoy, and net profit was RMB89.3m, up 186.88%yoy. Its customers include industry giants such as Foxconn and BYD. We initiate coverage with a BUY call and a target price of RMB108.
Functional device manufacturer has shown a rapid growth trend since inception
Functional device manufacturer BSC focuses on R&D to drive production and sales. Its products include electronic functional devices, fixtures and automation equipment, which are used in consumer and automotive electronics. It has quality customers and direct customers include upstream manufacturing service providers and component manufacturers of terminal brands such as Foxconn, BYD, Goertek, Ultrasonic Electronics, Truly Optoelectronics and Q Technology. Its products are ultimately used in Apple and Huawei, as well as consumer electronics brands Xiaomi, OPPO and VIVO, and auto brands Audi and Volkswagen, among others. Since its inception, BSC’s business has grown rapidly, with revenue and net profit CAGRs of 34.65% and 34%, respectively. 1H21 revenue was RMB300m, up 54.4% yoy, and net profit was RMB89.3m, up 186.88% yoy.
Market-leading customers; customer and capacity expansion
Functional devices allow customization, fast product updates, scale and customer stickiness. Competition is fierce among the many domestic and foreign participants. Its products are imported by global OEM leader Foxconn: Foxconn drove a sales revenue CAGR of 24.9% over 2017/18/19/20, contributing 76%/84%/54%/61% to revenue. BSC’s ROE leads the industry with a good-quality profit structure. Quality customers have raised its brand profile, and its product and brand equity has gone on to support customer growth. New customers include OFILM, Q Technology and Flex, lifting its business scale. Its Initial public offering (IPO) project has expanded production capacity and raised product quality. Its increases in production and supply capacities are aligned to customer expansion, ensuring better profit elasticity for the long term.
Wearable devices and auto electronics: high demand for functional devices
The Android TWS+ smartwatch has helped to expand the wearables market. Improvements in binaural connect and the supply chain have lowered costs. Compared to Apple’s Airpods, Android TWS has much headroom to grow. With Android TWS, we think it could even overtake Airpods in growth. We expect smartwatches to replicate the TWS’ growth trend. With giants such as Huawei and Apple expanding smartwatch medical applications, the demand potential has expanded with a new wearable target market.
The transformation of automobile electrification, increase in ADAS penetration and smart cockpits have expanded automobile electronic applications and lifted the value of in-vehicle functional devices. The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in 1Q21 was 5.8%, up 1.8ppt vs full-year 2020. The growth momentum continues to break records. Policy support and new model launches would accelerate the transformation of vehicles into electric vehicles. Consumption upgrades and lower costs align with rising penetration of ADAS, so the smart cockpit market has much growth potential. Automotive electronics account for a continuous increase in in-vehicle manufacturing cost and could approach 50% in 2030, which would lift the value of in-vehicle functional devices.
Valuation and risks
We expect BSC’s revenue to arrive at RMB1.03bn/1.42bn /1.84bn in 2021/22/23E and net profit at RMB249m/346m/451m, corresponding to EPS of RMB3.12/4.32/5.64. We assign a 25x PE in 2022E and initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of RMB108.
Risks include: downstream demand turning out less than expected; customer expansion less than expected; incremental production capacity additions less than expected; intensifying competition; market share loss; and profitability decline risks.
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評級:買入(啟動)
目標價:108.00元
股價(9月9日):人民幣85.01元
市值(人民幣):6800.8
上漲/下跌:27.0%
功能設備製造商北控發展迅速,營收和淨利潤年複合增長率分別為34.65%和34%;一季度營收3億元,同比增長54.4%;淨利潤8930萬元,同比增長186.88。它的客户包括富士康和比亞迪等行業巨頭。我們以買入通知和108元的目標價開始覆蓋。
功能器件製造商自成立以來呈現出快速增長的趨勢
功能設備製造商BSC專注於研發,以推動生產和銷售。其產品包括用於消費和汽車電子的電子功能設備、夾具和自動化設備。它擁有優質客户和直接客户,包括上游製造服務提供商和終端品牌的零部件製造商,如富士康、比亞迪、GoerTek、超聲波電子、真光電和Q科技。其產品最終用於蘋果和華為,消費電子品牌小米、OPPO和VIVO,汽車品牌奧迪和大眾等。自成立以來,BSC的業務快速增長,收入和淨利潤年複合增長率分別達到34.65%和34%。2011年第一季度營收3億元,同比增長54.4%,淨利潤8930萬元,同比增長186.88。
市場領先的客户;客户和容量的擴展
功能齊全的設備支持定製、快速產品更新、規模和客户粘性。眾多國內外參賽者競爭激烈。其產品由全球OEM領軍企業富士康進口:富士康推動銷售收入複合年增長率在2017/18/19/20期間達到24.9%,對收入的貢獻率為76%/84%/54%/61%。BSC的淨資產收益率(ROE)以良好的利潤結構引領行業。優質客户提升了其品牌形象,其產品和品牌資產繼續支持客户增長。新客户包括OFILM、Q Technology和Flex,提升了其業務規模。其首次公開募股(IPO)項目擴大了產能,提高了產品質量。其生產和供應能力的增加與客户擴張保持一致,確保了長期更好的利潤彈性。
可穿戴設備和汽車電子:對功能設備的高需求
Android TWS+智能手錶幫助擴大了可穿戴設備市場。雙耳連接和供應鏈的改進降低了成本。與蘋果的AirPods相比,Android TWS有很大的增長空間。有了Android TWS,我們認為它的增長甚至可以超過AirPods。我們預計智能手錶將複製TWS的增長趨勢。隨着華為和蘋果等巨頭擴大智能手錶的醫療應用,需求潛力隨着可穿戴設備的新目標市場而擴大。
汽車電動化的變革、ADAS普及率的提高和智能駕駛艙的出現,擴大了汽車電子應用,提升了車載功能設備的價值。2011年第一季度新能源汽車普及率為5.8%,比2020年全年增長1.8個百分點。增長勢頭繼續打破紀錄。政策支持和新車型的推出將加快汽車向電動汽車的轉變。消費升級和更低的成本與ADAS不斷增長的滲透率相一致,因此智能駕駛艙市場具有很大的增長潛力。汽車電子產品在車載製造成本中所佔比例不斷上升,到2030年可能接近50%,這將提升車載功能設備的價值。
估值和風險
我們預計2021/22/23年度BSC的收入將達到10.3億元人民幣/14.2億元/18.4億元人民幣,淨利潤為2.49億元/3.46億元/4.51億元人民幣,相當於每股收益3.12元/4.32/5.64元。我們在2022年分配25倍的市盈率,並以買入和108元的目標價啟動覆蓋。
風險包括:下游需求低於預期;客户擴張低於預期;新增產能低於預期;競爭加劇;市場份額流失;盈利能力下降風險。
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