According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March is 97.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until May is 86.8%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at 12.9% and a cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut at 0.3%.