CME “Federal Reserve Watch”: The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged rose sharply to 78.6% in May, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points to the 5.00%-5.25% range is 21.4%; the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by June is 29.7%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 56.9%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate hike of 25 basis points is 13.3%.