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美国前财长萨默斯大感意外 通货膨胀升高之际债券收益率竟下降

Former US Treasury Secretary Summers was surprised that bond yields fell at a time when inflation rose unexpectedly.

新浪財經 ·  Jun 12, 2021 14:31

Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers said that although he still thinks the economy is overheating, he did not expect the recent fall in bond yields.

"I didn't expect this decline in nominal yields," Summers said in an interview with Wall Street Week's David Westin. "I was taken aback. I thought yields should go up even more. "

Although the government reported that CPI surged 5 per cent in May from a year earlier, the biggest increase since 2008, the yield on the key 10-year Treasury note fell to a three-month low of 1.43 per cent on Thursday. It closed at 1.45% on Friday. When inflation fears rise, borrowing costs usually rise.

Mr Summers said the fall in yields could reflect a number of factors, including betting that the Fed was more focused on driving down unemployment rather than inflation, and that money flowed into the US market from abroad.

"people think that the Fed is focused on unemployment rather than inflationary pressures, so they cut their view on interest rates," he said.

Nonetheless, he predicts that CPI will grow at an annual rate of more than 4 per cent by the end of the year. He says faster inflation also means that so-called real interest rates have fallen, even if the economy is heating up.

"despite the booming economy, monetary policy has been steadily loosening this year," Summers said. "

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