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期权异动 | 美债风波未平,多头反弹乏力

Options changes | The US debt crisis is unsettled, and the bulls' rebound is weak

富途資訊 ·  Mar 1, 2021 21:36  · Exclusive

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Us Stock Intelligence Agent | Eli, Zoe

This article summarizes the latest large order changes in the option market for you.

By monitoring these market data, investors can use this often neglected information and formulate investment strategies.

The monthly adjustment of equity assets / fixed income assets of institutions in February ended last week. Interestingly, the market calmed down for most of the trading day on Friday, and the volatility of the last hour of late trading was slowly reflected.

Last Friday, the capital flow in the options market was relatively calm, and some selective institutional buying operations took place before noon. ELF with the concept of economic restart showed a continuous sweeping buying behavior of institutions. Although the stock has reached a high level after stabilizing at present, if the market volatility tends to stabilize, the option kinetic energy will fall.$e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF.US) $There could also be further increases (the problem is that risk/reward is no longer at its best). Other concepts of restarting horizontal trading at a high level and with a large order of options include$Alcoa (AA.US) $, $Cameco Corp. (CCJ.US) $, $TripAdvisor (TRIP.US) $Among them, there is also a certain buying behavior of a high growth and high interest rate sensitive target such as U (including selling PUT and buying CALL positions), but if we want to see the emotional follow-up reaction in the price, we should continue to pay attention to the persistence of its buying power.

Overall, there were still some noteworthy buyer operations in the options market on Friday, but its momentum was not enough for Sister Hua's team to track and start building their own positions. The main bullish single exercise days in the market are concentrated in June, such as$MasterCard Inc (MA.US) $The call option (the operation of continuing to settle and accumulate the medium-term exercise of the target), the medium-term call option from the side can mean the start of an emotion in the concept of this kind of weekly line, and the stock price is mediocre in the process of consolidation for several months. then the change of options is likely to be a process of momentum until a breakthrough in the future.

Emotionally

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SPY multi-day time-sharing chart intraday market list

Short-term sentiment due to last week's volatility and decline is now a bullish signal (anti-referential attribute), however, as shown in the above chart, we also experienced some days of short-term squeeze in intraday trading. In the medium term, mood still needs to fall further, releasing enough volatility and selling pressure to reach a healthy level.

Since the US stock market bottomed out in the epidemic environment last year, the market has once again pushed the Fed into a corner. Now we can hear every day that the high interest rate environment is good for some industries and bad for some industries. But we have to understand that when the bearish accumulation can lead to a market sentiment out of control, market players will try their best to collect exposure funds, then this will eventually affect the momentum of the positive side of the concept.

February 26th ETF options change in the market

Trading volume in the options market reached 47 million contracts on Friday, 6 per cent higher than the previous average, with subscriptions slightly higher than the sell volume (7:5). The volume of ETF and futures index products is relatively high, while the flow of individual stocks is moderate.

Changes in individual stock options in various sectors on February 26th

The most active plates includeThe communications, financial and cyclical consumer sectors while the energy and healthcare sectorsTrading volume is relatively calm.

Of the 3807 stocks with only listed options, 1334 (35 per cent) closed up and 2387 (63 per cent) closed down. Among the 500 stocks with the highest liquidity, 107 have higher implied volatility and 338 have lower implied volatility on the 30th. The stocks that have detected transaction changes include:$AT&T Inc (T.US) $, $Rocket Companies (RKT.US) $, $FISKER INC. (FSR.US) $, $SOS Ltd (SOS.US) $, $Salesforce.com Inc (CRM.US) $等。

Science and technology stock

Industrial stock

Cyclical consumer stock

Financial stocks

Communications Unit

Medical and Health Unit

Energy stocks

Real estate stock

Building Materials Unit

Defensive consumer stock

Public utilities unit

The option tool is flexible and easy to use, and it is considered to be the most perfect trading tool in the financial market so far. small funds can quickly accumulate wealth through accurate judgment using non-linear leverage. large funds can achieve stable returns through the comprehensive application of multiple strategies across bull-bear and shock markets. But we also need to see the buyer's risk of options (ordinary investors are careful to be sellers of options, with limited returns and unlimited losses):

1. Nonlinear huge leverage will suffer huge losses if it is faced with going in the wrong direction.

2. Volatility drops, and the other side may lose money.

3. The state of mind is easy to be out of balance with big fluctuations.

4. Time is the enemy of option buyer.

5. Stock thinking is serious. Stock thinking is just want to do long, will not short, fall more want to bottom, trap, ignore and so on rebound, and even some people add positions to lower costs, the result is deeper and deeper to zero. If you don't change your mind, it's dangerous to make options.


The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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