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神预测?华尔街猎手:不要拖延,4月14日前逐步清仓!

God predicts? Wall Street Hunters: Don't delay, gradually clear your inventory by April 14!

富途资讯 ·  Apr 8, 2020 11:45  · Exclusive

Reread the hot text.

On March 26, the US Stock Intelligence Agency brought you an article entitled"Wall Street hunter: seize the bear market rebound, April may hit a new low"Many cattle friends below participated in the discussion, which also brought a lot of views. A prediction is mentioned in the article that this reboundBefore April 8thThe probability of reaching the top is 100%.

On Monday (April 6), US stocks rose 7%, hitting a new high in more than half a month. On Tuesday (April 7), US stocks opened higher and fell lower before closing lower in late trading. Multinational epidemic data have "deteriorated" again, and the panic has not been completely relieved.And the Wall Street hunter's forecast has been updated.

-Editor's button

Michael Markowski, which has been in the financial field for more than 40 years.Accurately predicted the 2008 financial crisis. In December 2019, he predicted that either a correction or a crash was waiting for US stocks.

All three major indexes of US stocks have fallen so far this year. In 2020, the decade-long bull of US stocks came to an abrupt end.

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Source: Futu Securities (closing price as of March 25)

Michael Markowski has worked in the capital market since 1977, working as a stockbroker, portfolio manager, venture capitalist, investment banker and analyst, and began to provide investment research services and support in 1996.

On April 7th Michael Markowski updated its views and its model predictions again.

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Source: bullsnbears

SCPA Forecast Update:

  • The probability of a rebound between April 3 and April 14 is 100%.(March 26: 100% chance that the rebound will peak by April 8, 2020)

  • At the end of April or early May, the market will reverse after peaking, and the probability that the higher point will fall by 41% muri 44% is 100%.(March 26: 100% chance that the market will hit a new low before April 30, 2020)

  • Based on a comparison between the peaks of three long-term bull markets in history and the troughs of three long-term bear markets, the s & p 500 is likely to fall another 47% to 80% from its March 6 close.(March 26th: SCPA's long-term forecast is that all eight global indices will hit bottom between September and November 2022, with a minimum decline of about 79 per cent from their 2020 high).

    Note: the S & P 500 closed at 2972.37 on March 6th.

Markowski's latest proposal is that by April 14thClear 20% of the stock every day, do not procrastinate, the market may turn down instantly.

Suggest that 20% of portfolio holdings be sold per day for the next five days. Do not procrastinate. The market can stop on a dime and turn downward.

-Michael Markowski

The following are the views of the old text:

Recently, Markowski has begun to speak frequently, and his latest article reminds everyoneWe should seize the opportunity of the rebound in the bear market and cash out in time.

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Source: realinvestmentadvice

His own crash probability statistical analysis (SCPA) model predicts the following indices in the near futureThe probability of rebounding from a low of 18% is 100%, and the probability of rebounding from a low of 23% is 50%.

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Source: realinvestmentadvice

He warned that everyone should take advantage of the bear market rebound, because the bear in 2020 may be more cunning than the bear in 1929.

SCPA also predicts:

  • The rebound is in 2020.Before April 8thThe probability of reaching the top is 100%.

  • The market is in 2020Before April 30thThe possibility of hitting a new low is 100%.

  • SCPA's long-term forecast is that all eight global indices will be inIt bottomed out between September and November 2022, with a minimum decline of about 79% from its 2020 high).

It is worth mentioning that Markowski wrote on March 23rd thatThere is an 87% chance that the market will be at the bottom of the medium term. U. S. stocks tumbled to a three-year low that day.

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Source: Futu Securities

Looking back at the trend of the Dow in 1929, where are we today in history?

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Us Stock Intelligence Agent | debby

The translation is provided by third-party software.


The above content is for informational or educational purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice related to Futu. Although we strive to ensure the truthfulness, accuracy, and originality of all such content, we cannot guarantee it.
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