Michael Markowski has worked in the capital market since 1977, working as a stockbroker, portfolio manager, venture capitalist, investment banker and analyst, and began to provide investment research services and support in 1996.
Michael Markowski, which has been in the financial field for more than 40 years.Accurately predicted the 2008 financial crisis. In December 2019, he predicted that either a correction or a crash was waiting for US stocks.
All three major indexes of US stocks have fallen so far this year. In 2020, the decade-long bull of US stocks came to an abrupt end.
Source: Futu Securities (closing price as of March 25)
Recently, Markowski has begun to speak frequently, and his latest article reminds everyoneWe should seize the opportunity of the rebound in the bear market and cash out in time.
Source: realinvestmentadvice
His own crash probability statistical analysis (SCPA) model predicts the following indices in the near futureThe probability of rebounding from a low of 18% is 100%, and the probability of rebounding from a low of 23% is 50%.
Source: realinvestmentadvice
He warned that everyone should take advantage of the bear market rebound, because the bear in 2020 may be more cunning than the bear in 1929.
SCPA also predicts:
The rebound is in 2020.Before April 8thThe probability of reaching the top is 100%.
The market is in 2020Before April 30thThe possibility of hitting a new low is 100%.
SCPA's long-term forecast is that all eight global indices will be inIt bottomed out between September and November 2022, with a minimum decline of about 79% from its 2020 high).
It is worth mentioning that Markowski wrote on March 23rd thatThere is an 87% chance that the market will be at the bottom of the medium term. U. S. stocks tumbled to a three-year low that day.
Source: Futu Securities
Looking back at the trend of the Dow in 1929, where are we today in history?
Us Stock Intelligence Agent | debby