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德意志银行策略师:美股还有进一步下行空间

环球市场播报 ·  Mar 17 11:47

德意志银行表示,在贸易政策不确定的情况下,美股还将继续下跌,至少在4月2日对等关税生效之前是如此。

Bankim Chadha等策略师在报告中写道,仓位已经大幅削减,但只是从接近最大超配的水平降至略微低配的水平

如果仓位降至上次贸易战股票市场下跌时的区间底部,标普500指数将跌至5250点,这意味着较上周五收盘价下跌约7%。

Chadha预计,由于基本面在减弱,消费者和企业信心下滑,资本支出意愿下降,高管信心也下降,盈利预估预计将进一步下调,GDP预测也将被下调

维持标普500指数年底7000点的目标位,称现在认输还为时过早;解决关税不确定性的可靠计划将使商业周期得以继续,进而刺激股票市场反弹,就像2019年那样。

责任编辑:刘明亮

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